Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/6/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, July 6, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+125) Philadelphia (-150)

Citizens Bank Park is the site where the Philadelphia Phillies (51-36) will take on the Cincinnati Reds (45-42) on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has the Reds at +125 while the Phillies are sitting at -150. The total is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Chase Burns and Zack Wheeler.

As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are putting up 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 9th in the league. They have a total of 404 runs while holding a team OBP of .319. The Reds have accounted for 143 doubles as a squad and have smacked 94 balls out of the stadium. They have earned 384 runs batted in in addition to 722 hits on the season, and their batting average sits at .247. Cincinnati owns a slugging percentage of .400 and have been called out on strikes 755 times, while being walked on 290 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.59 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.24. Reds pitchers have given up 105 home runs and also 369 runs in total (16th in MLB). Cincinnati has given up 681 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 336 earned runs. The Reds have an ERA of 3.93 on the season (16th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 696 hitters. They have walked 269 opposing players and their FIP is 4.25 as a squad this year.

The Reds relievers have accumulated a save rate of 65.6% and have entered the game in 88 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 104 base runners on the season with 32.7% of them ended up scoring. Reds relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 67 times in addition to having 79 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 294 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relievers have tallied 54 holds so far this year (11th in baseball). They have tallied 21 saves so far this year and have blown 11 of their 32 chances to save the game.

The Chicago White Sox have earned 2,309 putouts this season, in addition to 665 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which has them ranked 15th in the majors, and have accumulated 49 double plays. The Reds have turned 71.8% of balls in play into outs in their 6,927 innings on the field, which has them ranked 3rd in pro baseball.

Burns has taken the hill for 5 innings and is sitting with 8 K's during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 14.12 (8 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 2.549. He has conceded 11 base knocks (19.4 hits per 9 innings) with 2 free passes. Burns (0-1 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 13.91 while he has gone up against 30 opposing batters in the majors.

The Philadelphia Phillies have earned an OBP of .330 in addition to a team batting average of .256 on the season. They have struck out on 686 instances (20th in the league) and have a total of 755 hits. Philadelphia has accumulated 92 home runs this season as well as 380 runs batted in. The Phillies hold a team slugging percentage of .404 and they score 4.59 runs per outing (10th in the league). They have notched 135 doubles, while taking a walk 301 times and earning 399 runs.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 347 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 3.71 (320 earned runs conceded). They have yielded 89 HR's and they allow 4.02 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.263 and have a FIP of 3.60 as a pitching staff for the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.30 (801 strikeouts against 255 bases on balls). They come in at 20th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 725.

Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 38.5% out of 78 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 91 times in high leverage situations in addition to 55 occasions with runners on. With 81 save situations, the Phillies have accumulated 38 holds and 16 blown saves. They are ranked 16th in the league with a save rate of 61.9%, and they have sent 266 relievers to the hill so far this year. Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 42 save chances and they have come away with 26 saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 59 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .990 (3rd in baseball). The Phillies have 758 assists, 32 errors and have earned a total of 2,328 putouts this year. In 6,984 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (23rd in professional baseball).

Wheeler (111-73 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.27 ERA and has conceded 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.65 and he has gone up against 6,914 batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered 612 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.141 and a FIP of 3.2. During his MLB career, Wheeler has given up 1,440 base knocks while he has tallied 1,761 strikeouts in 1,685 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+125)

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