Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 8/9/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Saturday, August 9, 2025

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-150) Pittsburgh (+125)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (49-66) are hosting the Cincinnati Reds (60-55) at PNC Park on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has Cincinnati at -150 while Pittsburgh is priced at +125. The total is 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Nick Martinez and Braxton Ashcraft.

The Reds have tallied 179 doubles as a unit and have knocked 117 baseballs out of the park. Cincinnati is slugging .390 and have struck out 989 times, while drawing a walk on 381 occasions. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are knocking in 4.5 runs per contest, which is 11th in the league. They have accounted for 490 RBI's as well as 947 base knocks for the season, while their batting average is sitting at .246. They have racked up 521 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .318.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.65 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.24. Reds pitchers have given up 129 home runs in addition to 479 total runs (13th in baseball). Cincinnati has conceded 897 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 437 earned runs. The Reds are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.87 on the season (14th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 954 batters. They have walked 360 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.08 as a squad for the year.

Reds relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 97 times as well as having 105 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 72 holds on the campaign (9th in the league). The Reds bullpen have a save percentage of 66.7% and have entered the game in 116 save situations. They have 28 saves this year and have missed out on 14 of 42 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 153 runners so far this year and 34.6% of them crossed the plate. The Reds have sent 391 relievers to the mound on the campaign.

The Reds have turned 71.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 9,150 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 5th in baseball. The Chicago White Sox have earned 3,050 putouts on the year, in addition to 864 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .985 which has them ranked 20th in professional baseball, and have earned 68 double plays.

Martinez (46-54 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.11 while facing 3,835 hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 902 base knocks (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 278 free passes. His earned run average is 4.18 (419 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.306. Martinez has taken the hill for 903 innings and has accumulated 647 K's during his MLB career.

Pittsburgh has a total of 81 home runs on the season and 395 RBIs. They have tallied 159 doubles, while walking 362 times and notching 407 runs. The Pittsburgh Pirates have an OBP of .303 as well as a batting average of .232 so far this year. The Pirates hold a team slugging percentage of .346 and they earn 3.54 runs per game (30th in the league). They have been rung up on 1,005 occasions (7th in the league) and are sitting with 888 hits.

The Pirates have a WHIP of 1.216 in addition to having a FIP of 3.93 as a pitching staff on the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.80 (879 strikeouts against 334 bases on balls). They rank 7th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 903. They have conceded 112 homers and they allow 4.12 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). The Pittsburgh pitching staff have allowed 466 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.88 (439 earned runs conceded).

Pittsburgh relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 33.3% out of 162 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 114 times in high leverage situations and also on 105 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 99 save situations, the Pirates have earned 54 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. They are ranked 25th in the league holding a save rate of 55.8%, and they have dispatched 354 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the season. Pittsburgh has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 43 save opportunities and they have earned 24 saves.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 84 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (9th in MLB). The Pirates have accrued 962 assists, 52 errors and have accounted for 3,051 putouts for the year. In 9,153 innings played, the Pirates have a efficiency on defense of 71.4% (3rd in pro baseball).

Ashcraft (3-2 mark in his career) has a 3.26 earned run average and has given up 9.2 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.33 and he has gone up against 144 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. He has surrendered a total of 12 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.390 and a FIP of 3.2. So far in his career, Ashcraft has allowed 34 base knocks while totaling 28 punch outs in 33 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+125)

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