Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 4/17/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Thursday, April 17, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (-182) Baltimore (+150)

The Baltimore Orioles (6-10) are welcoming the Cleveland Guardians (9-7) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has Cleveland at -182 and Baltimore is priced at +150. The over/under is set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Tanner Bibee and Tomoyuki Sugano.

Cleveland has a slugging percentage of .381 and have been rung up 131 times, while being walked on 58 occasions. They have accumulated 61 runs batted in in addition to 116 base knocks this year, and their team batting average comes in at .229. The Guardians have hit 16 doubles as a team and have knocked 19 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned 65 runs while having a team OBP of .310. As a squad, the Cleveland Guardians are notching 4.1 runs per contest, which puts them at 19th in MLB.

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The Guardians have compiled a team ERA of 3.56 on the year (8th in baseball), and they have struck out 136 batters. Guardians pitchers have conceded 17 home runs and 64 total runs (6th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 56 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.97 as a unit on the campaign. Cleveland has allowed 130 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 55 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.43 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.34.

The Guardians have sent 57 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The relievers have inherited 23 runners on the year with 17.4% of those players crossed the plate. They have earned 3 saves so far this season and have blown 2 of their 5 chances to get a save. The Guardians bullpen have compiled a save rate of 60.0% and has come into the game in 21 save situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 16 holds this season (4th in the league). Guardians relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 16 times as well as having 14 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Cincinnati Reds have earned 417 putouts on the year, in addition to 115 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding rate is at .980 which has them sitting 25th in professional baseball, and they have turned 14 double plays. The Guardians have converted 68.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 1,251 innings, which has them sitting at 25th in baseball.

Bibee has pitched in 329 innings and has earned 338 punch outs so far in his career. Bibee (23-13 career record) has a FIP of 3.26 while he has gone up against 1,358 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.31 (121 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.160. He has allowed 286 hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 96 walks.

Baltimore has accounted for 17 home runs for the season as well as 62 runs batted in. They have recorded 22 doubles, while taking a walk 43 times as well as scoring 69 runs. The Baltimore Orioles have tallied an OBP of .298 in addition to a batting average of .233 so far this year. The Orioles hold a team slugging % of .382 and they earn 4.31 runs per game (15th in MLB). They have struck out on 134 instances (22nd in baseball) and have earned 123 base knocks.

The Orioles have a WHIP of 1.446 and have a FIP of 4.13 as a team so far this year. They are currently ranked 25th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 151. The Baltimore pitching staff have relinquished 78 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.66 (72 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 7.20 (111 strikeouts against 50 bases on balls). They have given up 16 dingers and they concede 5.05 runs per 9 innings (24th in the league).

Baltimore has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 2 save chances and they have come away with 1 save. They are ranked 22nd in MLB with a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have sent 56 relief pitchers onto the field for the year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 12 times in high leverage situations and on 16 occasions with runners on. Baltimore relievers have an inherited score percentage of 27.3% out of their 22 inherited base runners. With 12 save situations, the Orioles have accrued 9 holds and 1 blown save.

The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 18 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (12th in the majors). The Orioles have accrued 147 assists, 8 errors and have a total of 417 putouts during this campaign. In 1,251 innings played, the Orioles have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 66.7% (26th in pro baseball).

In his career, Sugano has surrendered 17 base hits while earning 5 punch outs in 14 frames. Sugano (1-1 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.86 ERA while giving up 10.9 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 6 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.571 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 1.00 and he has gone up against 62 hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cleveland (-182)

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