Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 7/1/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Tuesday, July 1, 2025

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+110) Chicago (-132)

The Chicago Cubs (49-35) host the Cleveland Guardians (40-42) at Wrigley Field on Tuesday. The odds on this game have the Guardians at +110 and the Cubs are at -132. The betting total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Gavin Williams and Matthew Boyd.

As a team, the Cleveland Guardians are knocking in 3.7 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 25th in the league. They have notched a total of 303 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .298. The Guardians have accumulated 114 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 81 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 288 RBI's as well as 603 hits on the season, and their team batting average is sitting at .226. Cleveland is slugging .366 and have struck out 679 times, while being walked on 257 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Expert Picks

The Guardians hold a team ERA of 4.03 this season (19th in the league), and the staff has struck out 688 hitters. Guardians pitchers have given up 86 long balls in addition to 350 total runs (16th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 297 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.08 as a unit this year. Cleveland has given up 697 base knocks (8.7 per 9 innings) as well as 324 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.32 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.37.

Guardians pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 69 times in addition to having 80 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have notched 59 holds over the course of the season (4th in the league). The Guardians relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 74.2% and have come into the game in 91 save situations. They have recorded 23 saves this season and have missed out on 8 of 31 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 99 base runners this year with 39.4% of them earned a run for their team. The Guardians have dispatched 274 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Cincinnati Reds have a total of 2,170 putouts so far this season, in addition to 659 assists and 62 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .979 which is 28th in professional baseball, and they have turned 66 double plays. The Guardians have transformed 67.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 6,510 innings, which has them ranked 28th in professional baseball.

Williams has taken the mound for 238 innings and has accumulated 240 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Williams (11-18 mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.87 and he has faced 1,027 batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.93 (104 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.352. He has given up 208 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) with 114 walks.

The Chicago Cubs have recorded a team on-base percentage of .325 and a team batting average of .256 this season. They have been called out on strikes on 659 instances (23rd in MLB) and have totaled 745 base hits. Chicago has hit 124 home runs this season to go along with 444 runs batted in. The Cubs hold a team slugging percentage of .446 and they earn 5.39 runs per outing (2nd in the league). They have 148 two-baggers, while taking a walk 288 times as well as putting up 453 runs.

The Cubs have a WHIP of 1.248 in addition to having a FIP of 4.18 as a team on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio is 7.60 (629 strikeouts vs 231 walks). They rank 18th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 704. They have given up 100 long balls and they give up 4.19 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball). The Chicago pitching staff have given up 349 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 3.87 (322 earned runs yielded).

Chicago has had relief pitchers enter the game in 28 save chances and they have earned 19 saves. They rank 8th in the league with a save percentage of 67.9%, and they have dispatched 280 relievers to the hill on the year. Their relievers have come in 90 times in high leverage situations and on 60 occasions with base runners. Chicago bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.1% of 81 inherited base runners. With 83 save situations, the Cubs have earned 52 holds in addition to 9 blown saves.

In 6,747 innings played, the Cubs hold a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (10th in professional baseball). The Chicago Cubs have gotten 73 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .988 (6th in the majors). The Cubs have racked up 720 assists, 36 errors and have 2,249 putouts on the campaign.

In his MLB career, Boyd has surrendered 979 base knocks while he has totaled 973 K's in 999 innings. Boyd (53-72 career mark) has earned a 4.65 ERA and has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 516 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.295 and a FIP of 4.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.09 and he has gone up against 4,264 opposing batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cleveland (+110)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here