Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 7/2/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Wednesday, July 2, 2025

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+110) Chicago (-130)

The Cleveland Guardians (40-42) are on their way to Wrigley Field on Wednesday where they will play the Chicago Cubs (49-35). The moneyline on this contest has the Guardians at +110 and the Cubs are sitting at -130. The over/under is 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Tanner Bibee and Shota Imanaga.

The Guardians have accumulated 114 doubles as a unit and have knocked 81 balls out of the park. Cleveland has a slugging rate of .366 and have struck out 679 times, while taking a walk on 257 occasions. As a team, the Cleveland Guardians are notching 3.7 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They have 288 RBI's in addition to 603 hits for the year, while their team batting average is .226. They have tallied 303 runs and have an OBP of .298.

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The Guardians are sitting with a team ERA of 4.03 so far this year (19th in the league), and they have rung up 688 hitters. Guardians pitchers have yielded 86 home runs and 350 total runs (15th in the league). They have walked 297 opposing players and their FIP is 4.08 as a unit for the season. Cleveland has relinquished 697 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) as well as 324 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.32 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.37.

The Guardians relievers have recorded a save percentage of 74.2% and stepped onto the hill in 91 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 99 base runners this season with 39.4% of them crossed home plate. Guardians pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 69 times as well as having 80 appearances in high leverage situations. The Guardians have sent 274 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen have a total of 59 holds for the season (4th in the league). They have compiled 23 saves this year and have blown 8 of 31 chances to get a save.

The Guardians have turned 67.7% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,510 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 28th in MLB. The Cincinnati Reds have earned a total of 2,170 putouts for the season, in addition to 659 assists and 62 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .979 which ranks 28th in MLB, and they have turned 66 double plays.

Bibee has pitched in 409 innings and has tallied 410 K's so far in his career. His earned run average is 3.41 (155 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.155. He has allowed 358 base hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) with 115 free passes. Bibee (26-20 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.36 while he has faced 1,688 batters during his time in the majors.

The Chicago Cubs have a team OBP of .325 in addition to a batting average of .256 on the year. They have been called out on strikes on 659 occasions (24th in baseball) and have tallied 745 base knocks. Chicago has a total of 124 home runs this year as well as 444 RBIs. The Cubs hold a slugging percentage of .446 and they have an average of 5.39 runs per outing (2nd in MLB). They have hit 148 doubles, while getting a free base 288 times and recording 453 runs.

The Cubs have a WHIP of 1.248 with a FIP of 4.18 as a squad on the year. They rank 18th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 704. The Chicago pitching staff have relinquished 349 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 3.87 (322 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 7.60 (629 strikeouts vs 231 bases on balls). They have conceded 100 long balls and they surrender 4.19 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB).

Chicago has had relief pitchers take the mound in 28 save opportunities and they have walked away with 19 saves. They rank 8th in MLB with a save percentage of 67.9%, and they have sent 280 relief pitchers onto the field on the year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 90 times in high leverage situations in addition to 60 occasions with base runners. Chicago relievers hold an inherited score rate of 32.1% of 81 inherited runners. With 83 save situations, the Cubs have amassed 52 holds and 9 blown saves.

In 6,747 innings on the field, the Cubs have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (12th in baseball). The Chicago Cubs have turned 73 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (6th in MLB). The Cubs have recorded 720 assists, 36 errors and have accumulated 2,249 putouts for the year.

Imanaga (19-5 career win-loss record) holds a 2.83 earned run average and has conceded 7.5 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.91 and he has faced 892 batters in his career. He has surrendered 70 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.026 and having a FIP of 2.8. During his career, Imanaga has conceded 185 hits while he has earned 211 strikeouts in 222 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cleveland (+110)

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