Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 5/18/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Sunday, May 18, 2025

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (-160) Cincinnati (+132)

The Cincinnati Reds (21-24) will compete against the Cleveland Guardians (25-18) at Great American Ball Park on Sunday. The odds on this game have Cleveland at -160 while Cincinnati is sitting at +132. The total has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Kolby Allard and Andrew Abbott.

As a squad, the Cleveland Guardians are compiling 4.1 runs per game, which is 18th in MLB. They have earned a total of 176 runs scored while having a team OBP of .308. The Guardians have compiled 56 doubles as a unit and have knocked 48 baseballs out of the park. They have 165 runs batted in and 324 base knocks for the season, and their average at the plate is at .233. Cleveland owns a slugging percentage of .381 and have been called out on strikes 341 times, while taking a walk on 142 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.23 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.41. Guardians pitchers have allowed 47 home runs and also 190 runs (18th in MLB). Cleveland has relinquished 374 base hits (8.9 per 9 innings) and also 175 earned runs. The Guardians have a team ERA of 4.14 on the season (21st in baseball), and their staff has struck out 361 batters. They have walked 162 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.17 as a team for the year.

The Guardians have dispatched 151 relievers to the mound on the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 52 base runners for the year and 32.7% of those runners crossed the plate. They have earned 14 saves on the season and have blown 5 out of their 19 save opportunities. The Guardians relievers have a save rate of 73.7% and have entered the game in 57 save situations. The relievers are sitting with 38 holds for the season (1st in the league). Guardians bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 36 times as well as having 44 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Guardians have converted 67.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 3,420 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 27th in professional baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have accumulated 1,140 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 324 assists and 28 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .981 which is 26th in the majors, and have a total of 34 double plays.

Allard has taken the ball for 287 frames and has earned 233 strikeouts in his MLB career. His ERA is 5.74 (183 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.415. He has given up 312 hits (9.8 hits per nine innings) with 94 free passes. Allard (13-24 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 5.65 and he has gone up against 1,256 opposing batters during his time in the majors.

Cincinnati has accounted for 47 home runs over the course of the season and 201 runs batted in. They have recorded 74 doubles, while walking 164 times and recording 208 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have a team OBP of .319 and a batting average of .239 on the year. The Reds have a slugging percentage of .385 and they are scoring 4.62 runs per contest (13th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 403 occasions (4th in the league) and have 362 base hits.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have conceded 184 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 3.69 (164 earned runs allowed). They have surrendered 52 dingers and they concede 4.14 runs per 9 innings (12th in baseball). The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.175 and have a FIP of 4.04 as a team for the year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.60 (380 strikeouts against 138 walks). They sit at 6th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 332.

Cincinnati bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.4% out of 51 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 43 times in high leverage situations and on 33 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 48 save situations, the Reds have earned 29 holds and 6 blown saves. They are ranked 13th in the league holding a save rate of 64.7%, and they have dispatched 149 relievers to the hill on the campaign. Cincinnati has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 17 save chances and they have earned 11 saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 19 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in professional baseball). The Reds have accrued 339 assists, 23 errors and have amassed 1,200 putouts so far this year. In 3,600 innings on the field, the Reds have earned a defensive efficiency of 72.8% (1st in the majors).

Abbott (20-16 career record) is the owner of a 3.61 ERA and has conceded 8.0 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.52 and he has faced 1,165 batters in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered a total of 111 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.281 and having a FIP of 3.6. So far in his pro baseball career, Abbott has allowed 247 hits while totaling 272 punch outs in 277 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cleveland (-160)

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