Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Prediction, 7/7/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros

Date: Monday, July 7, 2025

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+172) Houston (-210)

Daikin Park is where the Houston Astros (52-35) will attempt to beat the Cleveland Guardians (40-45) on Monday. The odds on this game have Cleveland at +172 and Houston is coming in at -210. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Tanner Bibee and Hunter Brown.

Cleveland is slugging .363 and have been rung up 700 times, while drawing a walk on 264 occasions. They have recorded 294 RBI's as well as 622 hits this year, while their average at the plate is .225. The Guardians have accrued 115 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 84 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 309 runs scored and have an OBP of .297. As a squad, the Cleveland Guardians are scoring 3.6 runs per contest, which ranks them 26th in MLB.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.27 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.38. Guardians pitchers have surrendered 87 long balls in addition to 361 total runs (15th in MLB). Cleveland has given up 719 base knocks (8.6 per 9 innings) as well as 334 earned runs. The Guardians have a team ERA of 4.01 so far this season (19th in the league), and the staff has rung up 709 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 313 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.08 as a squad so far this season.

The Guardians have sent 284 relievers to the mound so far this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 107 runners so far this year with 37.4% of those runners crossed the plate. They have recorded 23 saves so far this year and have blown 8 of their 31 chances to get a save. The Guardians relief pitchers have a save percentage of 74.2% and have stepped onto the mound in 91 save situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 59 holds for the year (4th in baseball). Guardians pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 73 times and also have had 83 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Cincinnati Reds have accounted for 2,247 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 678 assists and 63 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .979 which ranks 28th in professional baseball, and they have turned 66 double plays. The Guardians have converted 67.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,741 innings on the field, which has them sitting 28th in baseball.

Bibee has taken the hill for 413 innings and has earned 415 punch outs so far in his career. His earned run average is 3.48 (160 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.168. He has given up 364 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) with 119 free passes. Bibee (26-21 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.43 and he has gone up against 1,710 batters in the majors.

Houston is sitting with 93 home runs for the season as well as 350 runs batted in. They have hit 122 two-baggers, while walking 250 times and scoring 367 runs. The Houston Astros have a team on-base percentage of .323 as well as a team batting average of .258 on the year. The Astros have a team SLG% of .401 and they have an average of 4.22 runs per contest (18th in baseball). They have struck out on 665 instances (26th in baseball) and have accounted for 752 base knocks.

The Astros hold a team WHIP of 1.161 and have a FIP of 3.58 as a staff on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.90 (847 strikeouts against 253 free passes). They are sitting at 2nd in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 640. They have given up 93 long balls and they relinquish 3.73 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball). The Houston pitching staff have allowed 319 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.53 (302 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 94 save situations, the Astros have compiled 56 holds in addition to 9 blown saves. Houston has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 37 save chances and they have converted 28 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 88 times in high leverage situations and also on 64 occasions with base runners. Houston relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 26.9% of 93 inherited base runners. They rank 1st in baseball holding a save percentage of 75.7%, and they have sent 268 relievers to the mound on the campaign.

The Houston Astros have gotten 54 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (9th in baseball). The Astros have recorded 673 assists, 38 errors and have notched a total of 2,309 putouts during this campaign. In 6,927 innings played, the Astros have a efficiency on defense of 70.7% (10th in professional baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Brown has conceded 393 hits while he has tallied 505 strikeouts in 450 frames. Brown (33-25 career mark) has a 3.54 ERA while giving up 7.9 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 177 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.209 and a FIP of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.34 and he has gone up against 1,850 hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-210)

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