Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Prediction, 7/9/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros

Date: Wednesday, July 9, 2025

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+125) Houston (-150)

The Houston Astros (55-36) are welcoming the Cleveland Guardians (41-48) at Daikin Park on Wednesday. The line on this matchup has the Guardians at +125 and the Astros are priced at -150. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Slade Cecconi and Brandon Walter.

The Guardians have compiled 126 doubles as a team and have knocked 87 baseballs out of the park. Cleveland is slugging .363 and have been rung up 731 times, while drawing a walk on 274 occasions. As a unit, the Cleveland Guardians are scoring 3.6 runs per game, which puts them at 26th in the league. They have accounted for 304 RBI's in addition to 651 hits this year, and their team batting average is .224. They have accumulated 319 runs while holding a team OBP of .295.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.27 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.36. Guardians pitchers have conceded 95 long balls and 376 total runs (15th in baseball). Cleveland has conceded 739 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) as well as 347 earned runs. The Guardians are sitting with a team ERA of 3.97 on the season (18th in baseball), and they have rung up 741 batters. They have walked 327 opposing players and their FIP is 4.14 as a squad on the season.

The Guardians relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 72.7% and stepped onto the hill in 95 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 108 runners so far this season and 37.0% of those players crossed the plate. Guardians relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 75 times in addition to having 89 appearances in high leverage situations. The Guardians have dispatched 298 relievers to the hill for the season. The bullpen have notched 61 holds so far this season (4th in the league). They have earned 24 saves for the season and have not converted 9 of their 33 save chances.

The Guardians have turned 68.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,074 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 24th in pro baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have earned 2,358 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 714 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding rate is at .979 which puts them in 28th in pro baseball, and have a total of 68 double plays.

Cecconi has pitched in 152 innings and has accumulated 131 K's in his career. Cecconi (5-12 mark in his career) has a FIP of 5.19 while he has faced 654 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 5.27 (89 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.336. He has given up 166 base knocks (9.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 37 walks.

Houston has accounted for 105 home runs for the season to go along with 382 RBIs. They have hit 133 two-baggers, while getting a free base 263 times as well as racking up 401 runs. The Houston Astros have an OBP of .325 in addition to a team batting average of .260 so far this year. The Astros have a slugging percentage of .413 and they earn 4.41 runs per contest (15th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 696 occasions (26th in MLB) and have notched a total of 797 base hits.

The Astros have a team WHIP of 1.164 and have a FIP of 3.61 as a pitching staff this year. They come in at 2nd in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 672. The Houston pitching staff have conceded 332 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 3.52 (315 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio is 9.80 (876 strikeouts vs 265 walks). They have allowed 98 home runs and they concede 3.71 runs per 9 innings (2nd in MLB).

Houston relievers have an inherited score percentage of 27.1% out of their 96 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 93 times in high leverage situations and on 66 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 100 save situations, the Astros have 60 holds in addition to 9 blown saves. They rank 1st in MLB with a save rate of 76.9%, and they have dispatched 278 relievers onto the diamond so far this year. Houston has called on relievers to take the mound in 39 save opportunities and they have tallied 30 saves.

In 7,251 innings played, the Astros have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (11th in the majors). The Houston Astros have turned 56 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in the majors). The Astros have recorded 705 assists, 40 errors and have earned 2,417 putouts on the season.

During his career, Walter has given up 69 hits while earning 49 strikeouts in 57 frames. Walter (1-1 mark in his career) has earned a 5.03 earned run average while conceding 10.9 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 32 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.364 and having a FIP of 5.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 5.44 and he has faced 251 opposing hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-150)

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