Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 3/29/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Saturday, March 29, 2025

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (-160) Kansas City (+132)

Kauffman Stadium is the location where the Kansas City Royals (86-76 last season) will try to defeat the Cleveland Guardians (92-69 last year) on Saturday. The line on this matchup has Cleveland at -160 and Kansas City is opening at +132. The total comes in at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Gavin Williams and Seth Lugo.

The Guardians hit 245 two-baggers as a team and smacked 185 baseballs out of the park. Cleveland had a slugging percentage of .395 and struck out 1,196 times, while taking a walk on 466 occasions. As a unit, the Cleveland Guardians notched 4.4 runs per game, which put them at 14th in the league. They earned 670 RBI's and 1,263 base knocks last season, while their average at the plate was at .238. They racked up 708 runs and held an OBP of .307.

Get all of our MLB Betting Picks

The Guardians finished with a team ERA of 3.61 for the prior year (3rd in baseball), and the staff rung up 1,410 batters. Guardians pitchers allowed 179 home runs in addition to 621 runs in total (3rd in baseball). Their pitching staff walked 492 batters and their FIP finished at 3.98 as a unit during the previous year. Cleveland allowed 1,224 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 572 earned runs. They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.87 and the pitching staff earned a collective WHIP of 1.20.

The Guardians dispatched 593 relief pitchers to the hill for the prior year. The relief pitchers inherited 235 runners over the course of the prior season with 26.0% of those runners crossed the plate. They had 53 saves last season and blew 16 out of their 69 save opportunities. The Guardians relievers had a save percentage of 76.8% and came into the game in 193 save situations. The relief pitchers accumulated 122 holds in the prior season (1st in the league). Guardians relief pitchers came into the game with players on base 170 times in addition to having 198 games in high leverage situations.

The Cleveland Guardians accumulated 4,284 putouts last year, in addition to 1,377 assists and 87 errors. Their fielding percentage finished at .985 which ranked 17th in MLB, and had a total of 130 double plays. The Guardians turned 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,852 innings on the diamond, which had them sitting at 5th in pro baseball.

Williams has pitched in 158 innings and is sitting with 160 K's thus far in his career. Williams (6-15 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 3.98 and he has faced 677 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.04 (71 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.310. He has given up 138 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has 69 free passes.

The Kansas City Royals accounted for an on-base percentage of .306 as well as a team batting average of .248 over the course of last season. They struck out on 1,161 occasions (29th in baseball) and had 1,343 base knocks. Kansas City tallied 170 home runs in the previous season in addition to 711 runs batted in. The Royals held a team slugging % of .403 and they were earning 4.54 runs per game (13th in baseball). They hit 264 two-baggers, while taking a walk 429 times as well as scoring 735 runs.

The Kansas City pitching staff relinquished 644 runs for the previous season while holding an ERA of 3.76 (596 earned runs surrendered). They surrendered 146 long balls and they allowed 4.06 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league). The Royals finished with a team WHIP of 1.243 in addition to having a FIP of 3.76 as a team for the previous season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sat at 8.40 (1,339 strikeouts against 472 free passes). They were ranked 15th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,303.

Kansas City had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 64 save opportunities and they converted 41 saves. They ranked 15th in MLB holding a save rate of 64.1%, and they sent 506 bullpen pitchers to the mound last season. Their relief pitchers stepped onto the mound 147 times in high leverage situations and on 130 occasions with base runners. Kansas City bullpen pitchers had an inherited score rate of 28.2% of 220 inherited runners. With 142 save situations, the Royals accrued 76 holds and also 23 blown saves.

In 12,852 innings on the field, the Royals held a efficiency on defense of 69.6% (18th in MLB). The Kansas City Royals turned 125 double plays and had a fielding percentage of .985 (15th in MLB). The Royals had 1,423 assists, 85 errors and accumulated 4,284 putouts for the prior year.

Lugo (56-40 career record) has earned a 3.38 ERA and has given up 8.0 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.75 and he has faced 3,487 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. He has surrendered a total of 318 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.153 and a FIP of 3.3. So far in his career, Lugo has allowed 756 base hits while earning 829 K's in 847 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cleveland (-160)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here