Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 7/26/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Saturday, July 26, 2025

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (-160) Kansas City (+132)

Kauffman Stadium is the site where the Kansas City Royals (50-53) will take on the Cleveland Guardians (51-50) on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Guardians at -160 while the Royals are at +132. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Tanner Bibee and Kris Bubic.

As a team, the Cleveland Guardians are notching 3.9 runs per game, which has them sitting at 26th in the league. They are sitting with 390 runs and have an OBP of .298. The Guardians have tallied 148 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 106 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 375 runs batted in in addition to 739 hits for the year, while their average at the plate is sitting at .224. Cleveland is slugging .372 and have been called out on strikes 824 times, while drawing a walk on 324 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.34 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.33. Guardians pitchers have given up 108 home runs in addition to 424 runs in total (13th in MLB). Cleveland has conceded 826 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and also 391 earned runs. The Guardians have compiled a team ERA of 3.92 over the course of the season (16th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 850 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 363 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.08 as a team for the season.

The Guardians have sent 336 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 121 runners on the year with 36.4% of them crossed home plate. They have 29 saves so far this year and have missed out on 12 out of their 41 save opportunities. The Guardians relievers have earned a save rate of 70.7% and have come into the game in 114 save situations. The bullpen have accumulated 71 holds on the campaign (4th in baseball). Guardians pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 86 times as well as having 112 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Cincinnati Reds have earned a total of 2,692 putouts thus far, as well as 824 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .981 which has them ranked 28th in MLB, and have a total of 81 double plays. The Guardians have transformed 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs in their 8,076 innings, which has them sitting 21st in professional baseball.

Bibee (28-21 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 3.47 while he has gone up against 1,778 hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 380 base hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 122 free passes. His ERA is 3.53 (169 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.164. Bibee has taken the mound for 431 frames and is sitting with 427 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

The Royals hold a slugging % of .380 and they earn 3.52 runs per contest (29th in the league). They have tallied 180 two-baggers, while getting a free base 241 times as well as scoring 363 runs. Kansas City has accounted for 85 home runs so far this season to go along with 357 RBIs. They have been rung up on 705 occasions (29th in the league) and have tallied 845 base hits. The Kansas City Royals are sitting with an on-base percentage of .299 in addition to a team batting average of .245 on the season.

The Kansas City pitching staff have allowed 385 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.51 (356 earned runs relinquished). They have yielded 105 dingers and they allow 3.79 runs per 9 innings (2nd in baseball). The Royals have a WHIP of 1.218 with a FIP of 3.85 as a staff this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.20 (833 strikeouts vs 303 free passes). They are currently ranked 9th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 810.

With 94 save situations, the Royals have 51 holds and also 13 blown saves. Kansas City has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 42 save chances and they have come away with 29 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 110 times in high leverage situations and also on 99 occasions with runners on. Kansas City relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 31.4% out of 140 inherited runners. They are ranked 6th in baseball with a save rate of 69.0%, and they have sent 334 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign.

The Kansas City Royals have turned 79 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .988 (7th in professional baseball). The Royals have accrued 919 assists, 46 errors and have notched a total of 2,743 putouts for the year. In their 8,229 innings on the diamond, the Royals have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (7th in the majors).

During his pro baseball career, Bubic has allowed 469 hits while he has earned 443 punch outs in 468 innings. He has given up a total of 214 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.399 and having a FIP of 4.1. His K/BB ratio is 2.38 and he has faced 2,015 batters so far in his career. Bubic (19-35 career win-loss mark) has a 4.11 ERA while conceding 9.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cleveland (-160)

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