Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets
Date: Tuesday, August 5, 2025
Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY
TV: Sportsnet New York
Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+110) New York (-132)
Citi Field is where the New York Mets (63-49) will play the Cleveland Guardians (56-55) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has Cleveland at +110 while New York is priced at -132. The over/under is 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Logan Allen and Clay Holmes.


The Guardians have accounted for 168 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 117 baseballs out of the stadium. Cleveland is slugging .378 and have been called out on strikes 904 times, while drawing a walk on 357 occasions. As a team, the Cleveland Guardians are notching 3.9 runs per game, which ranks them 26th in baseball. They have compiled 420 RBI's in addition to 833 hits on the season, while their team batting average sits at .229. They have accumulated 436 runs while holding a team OBP of .302.
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The Guardians are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.87 this year (14th in the league), and they have rung up 940 hitters. Guardians pitchers have conceded 120 home runs and 464 runs (13th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 390 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.08 as a team so far this season. Cleveland has given up 898 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 425 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.41 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.30.
The Guardians have dispatched 370 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relievers have inherited 132 runners so far this year and 37.1% of them crossed the plate. They have tallied 31 saves so far this season and have blown 15 of 46 chances to save the game. The Guardians bullpen have a save percentage of 67.4% and have entered the game in 126 save situations. The bullpen have accumulated 77 holds on the season (4th in the league). Guardians pitchers have entered the game with runners on 94 times in addition to having 126 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Cincinnati Reds have 2,963 putouts for the season, in addition to 913 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .982 which puts them in 28th in professional baseball, and they have turned 85 double plays. The Guardians have converted 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 8,889 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 18th in baseball.
Allen has taken the mound for 330 innings and is sitting with 279 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.47 (164 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.444. He has given up 348 base hits (9.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 129 free passes. Allen (22-22 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.40 and he has gone up against 1,432 hitters in the majors.
New York has tallied 138 HRs on the year and 477 runs batted in. They have recorded 178 two-baggers, while walking 388 times and scoring 492 runs. The New York Mets have compiled an OBP of .320 as well as a team batting average of .241 on the year. The Mets hold a team SLG% of .408 and they average 4.39 runs per outing (13th in baseball). They have been rung up on 896 occasions (19th in baseball) and have accounted for 899 base hits.
The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.319 and have a FIP of 3.86 as a squad for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.70 (956 strikeouts against 406 bases on balls). They come in at 12th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 905. They have relinquished 99 dingers and they surrender 4.09 runs per 9 innings (8th in MLB). The New York pitching staff have given up 452 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 3.67 (405 earned runs surrendered).
Sitting with 126 save situations, the Mets have amassed 74 holds and 18 blown saves. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 52 save opportunities and they have earned 34 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 136 times in high leverage situations and on 120 occasions with runners on. New York relievers have an inherited score rate of 34.1% of 179 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 12th in baseball holding a save percentage of 65.4%, and they have sent 364 relievers to the hill so far this year.
The New York Mets have turned 86 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in the majors). The Mets have recorded 1,009 assists, 52 errors and have 2,982 putouts for the year. Out of their 8,946 innings on the diamond, the Mets are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.4% (20th in baseball).
Holmes (33-28 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.65 ERA while allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.27 and he has faced 1,961 batters so far in his career. He has given up 184 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.308 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. So far in his MLB career, Holmes has given up 395 base knocks while accumulating 451 K's in 454 innings pitched.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-132)
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Additional Resources:
New York Mets - Twitter
Cleveland Guardians - Twitter