Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/6/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, August 6, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+120) New York (-144)

The Cleveland Guardians (57-55) are hitting the road to Citi Field on Wednesday where they will go up against the New York Mets (63-50). The moneyline on this game has Cleveland at +120 while New York is at -144. The total comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Gavin Williams and David Peterson.

Cleveland has a slugging % of .377 and have struck out 913 times, while taking a walk on 358 occasions. They have compiled 426 RBI's and 842 hits this season, and their batting average sits at .229. The Guardians have accounted for 169 two-baggers as a team and have hit 118 baseballs out of the stadium. They have tallied 443 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .301. As a team, the Cleveland Guardians are knocking in 4.0 runs/g, which is 26th in MLB.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.42 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.30. Guardians pitchers have surrendered 121 home runs and 470 runs (13th in the league). Cleveland has relinquished 909 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 429 earned runs. The Guardians are sitting with a team ERA of 3.87 so far this year (14th in MLB), and they have rung up 950 hitters. They have walked 392 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.07 as a team on the year.

The Guardians relief pitchers have a save percentage of 66.7% and have entered the game in 129 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 134 runners for the season and 36.6% of them crossed home plate. Guardians relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 96 times in addition to having 130 appearances in high leverage situations. The Guardians have sent 374 relievers to the hill so far this season. The bullpen are sitting with 78 holds this season (2nd in the league). They have compiled 32 saves for the year and have blown 16 of 48 save opportunities.

The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with 2,993 putouts this year, in addition to 920 assists and 73 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .982 which has them sitting 28th in baseball, and have earned 85 double plays. The Guardians have transformed 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 8,979 innings, which has them sitting 19th in professional baseball.

Williams has pitched in 274 innings and has accumulated 277 strikeouts thus far in his career. Williams (12-19 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.69 and he has gone up against 1,171 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.74 (114 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.328. He has surrendered 233 base hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 131 walks.

The Mets hold a team SLG% of .408 and they average 4.41 runs per game (13th in baseball). They have put up 179 two-baggers, while taking a walk 390 times and putting up 498 runs. New York has hit 139 long balls over the course of the season as well as 483 RBIs. They have been rung up on 906 occasions (19th in the league) and have earned a total of 910 base hits. The New York Mets have compiled an OBP of .320 in addition to a team batting average of .241 on the year.

The New York pitching staff have given up 459 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.68 (410 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 100 home runs and they allow 4.11 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball). The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.316 and have a FIP of 3.86 as a staff so far this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.70 (965 strikeouts vs 407 walks). They sit at 12th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 914.

New York relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 33.9% of 180 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 138 times in high leverage situations and on 122 occasions with runners on. With 126 save situations, the Mets have earned 74 holds in addition to 18 blown saves. They are ranked 10th in the league with a save percentage of 65.4%, and they have dispatched 369 relievers to the hill on the campaign. New York has had relievers enter the contest in 52 save opportunities and they have earned 34 saves.

In their 9,036 innings played, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (20th in the majors). The New York Mets have turned 86 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (11th in pro baseball). The Mets have 1,015 assists, 54 errors and have amassed 3,012 putouts during this campaign.

So far in his career, Peterson has conceded 541 base knocks while he has accumulated 569 strikeouts in 581 innings pitched. Peterson (35-28 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.81 earned run average while surrendering 8.4 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 246 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.344 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 2.37 and he has gone up against 2,475 batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-144)

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