Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 9/6/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Saturday, September 6, 2025

Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+172) Tampa Bay (-210)

George M. Steinbrenner Field is where the Tampa Bay Rays (70-69) will attempt to defeat the Cleveland Guardians (69-69) on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Guardians at +172 while the Rays are priced at -210. The total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Tanner Bibee and Shane Baz.

Cleveland is slugging .369 and have been called out on strikes 1,135 times, while taking a walk on 419 occasions. They have accrued 517 RBI's as well as 1,012 base knocks so far this season, while their batting average sits at .224. The Guardians have accounted for 198 doubles as a squad and have knocked 143 balls out of the park. They have racked up 538 runs while having a team OBP of .294. As a team, the Cleveland Guardians are scoring 3.9 runs per outing, which puts them at 27th in MLB.

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The Guardians have an ERA of 3.97 over the course of the season (16th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,149 batters. Guardians pitchers have conceded 152 home runs and also 592 runs in total (11th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 477 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.16 as a team so far this year. Cleveland has given up 1,140 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 541 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.41 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.32.

The Guardians have dispatched 458 relievers to the hill on the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 181 runners this season and 33.1% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 39 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 18 of 57 chances to save the game. The Guardians relievers have a save percentage of 68.4% and have come into the game in 152 save situations. The relievers have accumulated 92 holds on the season (5th in baseball). Guardians relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 129 times and also have had 159 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Cincinnati Reds have accumulated 3,678 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,126 assists and 86 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .982 which ranks 27th in MLB, and have 102 double plays. The Guardians have turned 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,034 innings on the diamond, ranking them 19th in professional baseball.

Bibee has taken the ball for 469 innings and has accounted for 464 punch outs so far in his career. Bibee (31-23 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 3.70 while he has faced 1,955 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.76 (196 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.202. He has allowed 426 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has 138 free passes.

Tampa Bay has knocked in 157 HRs so far this season as well as 604 RBIs. They have tallied 212 two-baggers, while taking a walk 399 times as well as putting up 636 runs. The Tampa Bay Rays have a team on-base percentage of .314 in addition to a team batting average of .253 for the season. The Rays hold a team slugging % of .404 and they score 4.58 runs per contest (11th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 1,189 occasions (13th in MLB) and have notched a total of 1,187 base knocks.

The Rays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.209 with a FIP of 4.21 as a pitching staff so far this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.80 (1,203 strikeouts against 398 free passes). They rank 6th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,090. They have conceded 182 dingers and they allow 4.20 runs per 9 innings (9th in baseball). The Tampa Bay pitching staff have surrendered 575 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 3.89 (532 earned runs conceded).

With 135 save situations, the Rays have 78 holds and also 23 blown saves. Tampa Bay has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 55 save opportunities and they have recorded 32 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 131 times in high leverage situations and on 96 occasions with runners on base. Tampa Bay bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 31.5% out of 143 inherited runners. They sit at 25th in the league with a save percentage of 58.2%, and they have dispatched 436 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the year.

The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 128 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in pro baseball). The Rays have accrued 1,225 assists, 64 errors and have notched a total of 3,694 putouts this year. In their 11,082 innings on the diamond, the Rays hold a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (4th in baseball).

So far in his career, Baz has allowed 235 hits while tallying 273 K's in 269 frames. He has conceded a total of 128 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.226 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. His K/BB ratio is 2.87 and he has faced 1,125 opposing hitters so far in his career. Baz (16-16 record in his career) is the owner of a 4.28 earned run average while giving up 7.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-210)

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