Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 9/7/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Sunday, September 7, 2025

Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+172) Tampa Bay (-210)

The Cleveland Guardians (69-70) are on their way to George M. Steinbrenner Field on Sunday where they will take on the Tampa Bay Rays (71-69). The line on this contest has the Guardians at +172 while the Rays are priced at -210. The over/under comes in at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Parker Messick and Drew Rasmussen.

As a team, the Cleveland Guardians are scoring 3.9 runs per contest, which ranks them 27th in MLB. They have racked up 540 runs and have an on-base percentage of .294. The Guardians have accounted for 198 doubles as a squad and have knocked 145 balls out of the stadium. They have amassed 519 RBI's in addition to 1,015 base knocks for the season, while their average at the plate is at .223. Cleveland is slugging .368 and have been called out on strikes 1,148 times, while taking a walk on 421 occasions.

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The Guardians are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.97 this year (16th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,156 hitters. Guardians pitchers have allowed 152 home runs and also 596 runs in total (13th in baseball). They have walked 479 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.14 as a squad on the campaign. Cleveland has yielded 1,148 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 544 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.41 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.32.

The Guardians have sent 460 relievers to the hill on the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 183 base runners on the year with 33.9% of those runners crossed the plate. They have recorded 39 saves so far this season and have not converted 18 of their 57 save chances. The Guardians relievers have a save percentage of 68.4% and have entered the game in 152 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 92 holds for the season (5th in the league). Guardians relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 130 times in addition to having 159 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Guardians have transformed 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,106 innings, which has them ranked 20th in professional baseball. The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with 3,702 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,138 assists and 88 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .982 which ranks 27th in professional baseball, and they have turned 103 double plays.

Messick (1-0 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 2.07 while he has faced 71 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has given up 20 hits (10.5 hits per nine innings) and has 3 walks. His ERA is 2.11 (4 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.345. Messick has taken the hill for 17 innings and has accumulated 14 K's during his pro baseball career.

The Tampa Bay Rays have compiled an on-base percentage of .314 and a team batting average of .253 so far this year. They have struck out on 1,196 occasions (12th in MLB) and have earned 1,195 hits. Tampa Bay is sitting with 157 home runs this year to go along with 608 runs batted in. The Rays hold a slugging percentage of .403 and they earn 4.57 runs per game (11th in MLB). They have 212 doubles, while taking a walk 401 times as well as putting up 640 runs.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff have conceded 577 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 3.88 (534 earned runs yielded). They have relinquished 184 homers and they surrender 4.19 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league). The Rays have a team WHIP of 1.204 and have a FIP of 4.21 as a pitching staff so far this year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.80 (1,216 strikeouts vs 400 walks). They are sitting at 5th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,093.

Sitting with 136 save situations, the Rays have recorded 79 holds and also 23 blown saves. Tampa Bay has called on relievers to enter the game in 55 save opportunities and they have come away with 32 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 131 times in high leverage situations in addition to 96 occasions with base runners. Tampa Bay bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 31.5% of 143 inherited runners. They are ranked 25th in baseball with a save rate of 58.2%, and they have sent 440 relievers to the hill on the year.

The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 128 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in pro baseball). The Rays have accrued 1,228 assists, 64 errors and have notched a total of 3,721 putouts this season. Out of their 11,163 innings played, the Rays are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (4th in professional baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Rasmussen has surrendered 359 base knocks while he has accumulated 416 punch outs in 444 innings pitched. Rasmussen (30-17 career mark) is the owner of a 2.90 earned run average while giving up 7.3 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 143 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.055 and having a FIP of 2.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.78 and he has faced 1,773 batters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-210)

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