Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 5/3/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (-182) Toronto (+150)

The Cleveland Guardians (17-13) are on their way to Rogers Centre on Saturday where they will play the Toronto Blue Jays (14-16). The moneyline on this game has Cleveland at -182 while Toronto is opening at +150. The betting total comes in at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Gavin Williams and Kevin Gausman.

As a unit, the Cleveland Guardians are knocking in 3.8 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 23rd in the league. They have racked up 114 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .301. The Guardians have recorded 40 two-baggers as a team and have hit 33 balls out of the park. They have accrued 107 runs batted in in addition to 227 hits this season, and their average at the plate is .234. Cleveland is slugging .382 and have struck out 235 times, while taking a walk on 89 occasions.

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The Guardians have compiled a team earned run average of 4.40 this year (23rd in the league), and their staff has rung up 257 hitters. Guardians pitchers have conceded 38 home runs in addition to 139 runs in total (21st in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 112 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.34 as a squad so far this year. Cleveland has yielded 262 base knocks (8.9 per 9 innings) as well as 129 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.29 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.42.

The Guardians relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 76.9% and have entered the game in 41 save situations. The relievers have inherited 35 runners this year and 20.0% of those players crossed the plate. Guardians bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 25 times in addition to having 27 appearances in high leverage situations. The Guardians have sent 103 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The relievers have a total of 28 holds on the season (3rd in the league). They have recorded 10 saves on the season and have blown 3 out of their 13 chances to save the game.

The Guardians have transformed 67.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 2,376 innings, which has them sitting at 25th in baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have accumulated 792 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 230 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .982 which has them ranked 24th in baseball, and they have turned 26 double plays.

Williams (8-17 career record) holds a FIP of 4.15 and he has gone up against 800 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 168 hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has 83 free passes. His ERA is 4.21 (87 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.349. Williams has taken the ball for 186 innings and has earned 188 strikeouts during his career.

Toronto has compiled 19 long balls so far this season as well as 99 runs batted in. They have hit 51 two-baggers, while taking a walk 96 times and notching 104 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays hold a team on-base percentage of .309 and a batting average of .237 on the campaign. The Blue Jays have a team slugging percentage of .347 and they are recording 3.47 runs per contest (25th in MLB). They have struck out on 216 occasions (29th in baseball) and have earned 237 hits.

The Toronto pitching staff have yielded 138 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 4.31 (129 earned runs given up). They have yielded 44 dingers and they surrender 4.62 runs per 9 innings (20th in baseball). The Blue Jays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.252 with a FIP of 4.41 as a squad on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.20 (275 strikeouts vs 95 walks). They are currently ranked 16th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 242.

With 30 save situations, the Blue Jays have earned 17 holds and also 5 blown saves. Toronto has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 13 save opportunities and they have come away with 8 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 24 times in high leverage situations and also on 34 occasions with runners on base. Toronto relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 18.6% out of 43 inherited base runners. They rank 19th in baseball with a save rate of 61.5%, and they have dispatched 104 relievers onto the diamond so far this year.

In their 2,424 innings on the field, the Blue Jays have a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (12th in professional baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 21 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (17th in the majors). The Blue Jays have racked up 241 assists, 16 errors and have amassed 808 putouts on the season.

Gausman (104-105 career record) is the owner of a 3.85 earned run average while giving up 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.61 and he has faced 7,343 opposing hitters during his career. He has allowed 750 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.256 and a FIP of 3.8. Thus far in his career, Gausman has given up 1,704 hits while tallying 1,793 strikeouts in 1,752 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (+150)

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