Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/9/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Wednesday, July 9, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Colorado (+102) Boston (-122)

Fenway Park is the site where the Boston Red Sox (47-45) will attempt to beat the Colorado Rockies (21-70) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has Colorado at +102 and Boston is coming in at -122. The over/under is set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Antonio Senzatela and Lucas Giolito.

As a team, the Colorado Rockies are knocking in 3.6 runs per contest, which puts them at 27th in the league. They have tallied 324 runs scored and have an OBP of .292. The Rockies have accrued 149 doubles as a team and have hit 86 baseballs out of the park. They have compiled 316 RBI's in addition to 704 base knocks this year, and their average at the plate comes in at .231. Colorado has a slugging % of .381 and have been rung up 882 times, while drawing a walk on 241 occasions.

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The Rockies have compiled a team earned run average of 5.54 this year (30th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 599 batters. Rockies pitchers have yielded 120 home runs and also 559 runs in total (30th in the league). They have walked 315 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.82 as a squad on the campaign. Colorado has surrendered 933 hits (10.5 per 9 innings) and also 491 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 1.90 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.57.

Rockies pitchers have come into the game with runners on 104 times in addition to having 94 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 36 holds so far this season (29th in baseball). The Rockies relief pitchers have a save rate of 51.6% and stepped onto the hill in 67 save situations. They have tallied 16 saves for the season and have not converted 15 of 31 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 177 base runners over the course of the season and 33.3% of those players crossed the plate. The Rockies have sent 305 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Cleveland Guardians have earned a total of 2,391 putouts this season, in addition to 870 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .977 which has them sitting 30th in professional baseball, and have earned 88 double plays. The Rockies have transformed 65.8% of balls in play into outs in their 7,173 innings, which has them ranked 30th in professional baseball.

Senzatela has taken the ball for 778 innings and has racked up 504 punch outs in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 5.09 (440 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.501. He has conceded 919 base knocks (10.6 hits per nine innings) with 249 free passes. Senzatela (42-56 mark in his career) has a FIP of 5.01 while he has gone up against 3,423 opposing batters during his time in the majors.

Boston has knocked in 114 long balls over the course of the season as well as 437 runs batted in. They have recorded 186 two-baggers, while taking a walk 300 times and racking up 457 runs. The Boston Red Sox have recorded a team on-base percentage of .325 and a batting average of .255 over the course of the season. The Red Sox have a SLG% of .430 and they score 4.97 runs per outing (6th in baseball). They have been rung up on 843 occasions (3rd in baseball) and have a total of 813 base hits.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.326 in addition to having a FIP of 3.88 as a staff this year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.40 (772 strikeouts vs 316 free passes). They rank 24th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 777. They have surrendered 87 long balls and they yield 4.56 runs per 9 innings (21st in baseball). The Boston pitching staff have given up 418 runs this year while having an ERA of 3.94 (361 earned runs yielded).

Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 42 save opportunities and they have recorded 24 saves. They are currently ranked 23rd in MLB with a save percentage of 57.1%, and they have dispatched 304 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have come in 115 times in high leverage situations and also on 95 occasions with runners on. Boston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.6% out of their 128 inherited runners. Sitting with 93 save situations, the Red Sox have 49 holds in addition to 18 blown saves.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 79 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .978 (29th in baseball). The Red Sox have racked up 847 assists, 75 errors and are sitting with 2,474 putouts on the season. In their 7,422 innings on the field, the Red Sox have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (27th in the majors).

In his career, Giolito has given up 950 base knocks while tallying 1,135 strikeouts in 1,079 innings pitched. Giolito (66-63 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.39 earned run average while surrendering 7.9 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 526 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.256 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.80 and he has faced 4,535 opposing batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Colorado (+102)

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