Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 7/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Monday, July 28, 2025

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: CLEGuardians.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Colorado (+110) Cleveland (-130)

Progressive Field is the site where the Cleveland Guardians (51-51) will go up against the Colorado Rockies (26-76) on Monday. The moneyline on this game has Colorado at +110 and Cleveland is coming in at -130. The total is 8.5. The starting pitchers are Bradley Blalock and Slade Cecconi.

As a squad, the Colorado Rockies are scoring 3.6 runs per game, which has them sitting at 28th in MLB. They have earned a total of 369 runs while holding a team OBP of .294. The Rockies have hit 164 doubles as a unit and have smacked 99 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 359 runs batted in in addition to 803 hits on the year, while their average at the plate is at .235. Colorado has a slugging rate of .386 and have been called out on strikes 990 times, while being walked on 263 occasions.

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The Rockies have compiled a team earned run average of 5.50 so far this year (30th in the league), and the staff has rung up 670 batters. Rockies pitchers have allowed 136 home runs and 616 runs (30th in baseball). They have walked 350 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.86 as a team over the course of the season. Colorado has surrendered 1,050 base hits (10.6 per 9 innings) as well as 545 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.91 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.57.

The Rockies have sent 340 relievers to the mound for the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 194 runners over the course of the season and 33.0% of those runners crossed home plate. They have earned 18 saves for the year and have not converted 17 of 35 chances to get a save. The Rockies relievers have recorded a save rate of 51.4% and stepped onto the hill in 78 save situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 43 holds so far this season (28th in the league). Rockies relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 112 times in addition to having 105 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Cleveland Guardians have earned a total of 2,676 putouts this season, as well as 974 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .978 which is 30th in the majors, and have 106 double plays. The Rockies have converted 65.7% of balls hit into play into outs in their 8,028 innings, which ranks them 30th in professional baseball.

Blalock (2-5 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 7.13 while facing 270 batters in the majors. He has surrendered 76 base knocks (12.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 27 free passes. His earned run average is 7.24 (46 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.801. Blalock has thrown 57 innings and has totaled 29 K's so far in his pro baseball career.

The Cleveland Guardians have tallied an on-base percentage of .298 in addition to a batting average of .224 this year. They have struck out on 835 occasions (18th in baseball) and have notched a total of 746 base knocks. Cleveland has accounted for 108 home runs for the year and 378 runs batted in. The Guardians have a team slugging % of .372 and they have an average of 3.85 runs per game (26th in baseball). They have 148 two-baggers, while walking 328 times and racking up 393 runs.

The Guardians hold a team WHIP of 1.323 in addition to having a FIP of 4.09 as a team on the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.50 (855 strikeouts vs 365 free passes). They sit at 14th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 834. They have allowed 109 homers and they concede 4.25 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The Cleveland pitching staff have surrendered 428 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 3.92 (395 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 114 save situations, the Guardians have earned 71 holds and 12 blown saves. Cleveland has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 41 save chances and they have walked away with 29 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 114 times in high leverage situations and on 88 occasions with base runners. Cleveland relievers hold an inherited score rate of 36.3% of 124 inherited runners. They are ranked 4th in baseball holding a save percentage of 70.7%, and they have dispatched 340 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond so far this season.

The Cleveland Guardians have turned 81 double plays and have a fielding rate of .981 (28th in MLB). The Guardians have racked up 832 assists, 67 errors and have 2,719 putouts on the season. Out of their 8,157 innings played, the Guardians have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (20th in the majors).

Cecconi (7-12 mark in his career) holds a 5.15 ERA while giving up 9.6 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.51 and he has faced 736 opposing hitters so far in his career. He has given up a total of 99 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.300 and a FIP of 5.1. During his pro baseball career, Cecconi has surrendered 184 hits while he has accumulated 144 K's in 173 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Colorado (+110)

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