Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros Prediction, 8/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros

Date: Thursday, August 28, 2025

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Colorado (+110) Houston (-132)

The Houston Astros (72-60) welcome the Colorado Rockies (38-94) at Daikin Park on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has Colorado at +110 and Houston is at -132. The total is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Kyle Freeland and Jason Alexander.

As a team, the Colorado Rockies are putting up 3.8 runs per game, which has them sitting at 29th in baseball. They have accumulated 497 runs and have an on-base percentage of .295. The Rockies have compiled 214 doubles as a team and have hit 134 balls out of the park. They have compiled 484 RBI's as well as 1,054 base knocks for the season, and their team batting average is at .238. Colorado has a slugging % of .392 and have struck out 1,228 times, while being walked on 328 occasions.

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The Rockies have a team ERA of 5.96 over the course of the season (30th in the league), and the staff has struck out 876 hitters. Rockies pitchers have surrendered 192 long balls and 841 total runs (30th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 460 batters and their FIP is 5.10 as a team so far this year. Colorado has surrendered 1,390 hits (10.9 per 9 innings) and 763 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.90 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.61.

The Rockies relievers have recorded a save rate of 54.3% and have entered the game in 96 save situations. The relievers have inherited 237 base runners for the year and 34.6% of those runners earned a run for their team. Rockies relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 139 times and also have had 123 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rockies have dispatched 440 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The bullpen have notched 50 holds for the season (30th in MLB). They have earned 25 saves on the year and have not converted 21 of 46 save opportunities.

The Cleveland Guardians are sitting with 3,454 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,234 assists and 99 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .979 which has them sitting 30th in pro baseball, and they have turned 130 double plays. The Rockies have converted 65.4% of balls hit into play into outs in their 10,362 innings, which has them sitting 30th in baseball.

Freeland has thrown 1,222 innings and has accounted for 911 punch outs in his career. Freeland (63-86 career mark) has a FIP of 4.50 while he has gone up against 5,312 hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.57 (620 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.428. He has surrendered 1,357 base hits (10.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 388 walks.

The Astros hold a slugging percentage of .401 and they have an average of 4.25 runs per game (21st in the league). They have recorded 201 doubles, while getting a free base 387 times as well as notching 561 runs. Houston has 146 long balls for the year as well as 536 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,045 instances (24th in MLB) and have earned 1,133 base hits. The Houston Astros have compiled an on-base percentage of .318 and a batting average of .253 on the season.

The Astros have a team WHIP of 1.224 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.95 as a unit for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.50 (1,240 strikeouts vs 407 free passes). They are currently ranked 5th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,032. They have surrendered 159 long balls and they relinquish 4.19 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball). The Houston pitching staff have surrendered 547 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 3.90 (509 earned runs relinquished).

Houston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 26.1% of 134 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 133 times in high leverage situations in addition to 100 occasions with base runners. With 130 save situations, the Astros have earned 75 holds and also 14 blown saves. They sit at 2nd in MLB holding a save percentage of 73.1%, and they have sent 417 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond over the course of the season. Houston has called on relievers to enter the contest in 52 save opportunities and they have come away with 38 saves.

The Houston Astros have turned 89 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in MLB). The Astros have racked up 1,058 assists, 55 errors and are sitting with 3,527 putouts on the season. In 10,581 innings played, the Astros have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (11th in the majors).

During his career, Alexander has allowed 136 base hits while he has tallied 84 K's in 120 frames. He has given up 68 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.522 and having a FIP of 5.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.79 and he has faced 536 hitters thus far in his career. Alexander (6-4 career win-loss mark) has earned a 5.09 earned run average while allowing 10.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Colorado (+110)

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