Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 7/6/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Sunday, July 6, 2025

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: CLEGuardians.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (-144) Cleveland (+120)

The Cleveland Guardians (40-44) welcome the Detroit Tigers (54-33) at Progressive Field on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has the Tigers at -144 and the Guardians are at +120. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Tarik Skubal and Gavin Williams.

The Tigers have tallied 142 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 110 baseballs out of the stadium. Detroit is slugging .430 and have been rung up 753 times, while being walked on 277 occasions. As a unit, the Detroit Tigers are scoring 5.1 runs per game, which puts them at 5th in baseball. They have 421 RBI's and 757 hits on the year, while their average at the plate is .257. They have accumulated 439 runs scored and hold an OBP of .325.

Get all of our Free MLB Picks

The Tigers hold a team ERA of 3.49 so far this year (3rd in MLB), and the staff has struck out 740 hitters. Tigers pitchers have surrendered 89 home runs and also 336 total runs (6th in baseball). They have walked 251 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.79 as a unit for the year. Detroit has yielded 674 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and also 300 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.95 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.20.

The Tigers relief pitchers have a save percentage of 68.6% and have come into the game in 83 save situations. The relievers have inherited 132 runners for the year and 25.0% of those runners earned a run for their team. Tigers relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 97 times and also have had 73 appearances in high leverage situations. The Tigers have sent 268 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The relief pitchers have a total of 45 holds this season (21st in baseball). They have 24 saves for the season and have missed out on 11 of their 35 save chances.

The Tigers have converted 70.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of 6,960 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 9th in pro baseball. The Colorado Rockies have amassed 2,320 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 749 assists and 39 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .987 which puts them in 9th in pro baseball, and have earned 72 double plays.

Skubal has pitched in 680 innings and has totaled 786 strikeouts so far in his career. Skubal (51-33 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.13 and he has gone up against 2,721 batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.18 (240 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.034. He has surrendered 550 base hits (7.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 153 free passes.

The Cleveland Guardians hold an on-base percentage of .297 and a team batting average of .225 so far this season. They have struck out on 691 occasions (18th in MLB) and have recorded 615 hits. Cleveland has 84 long balls over the course of the season as well as 294 runs batted in. The Guardians have a team slugging percentage of .365 and they score 3.68 runs per game (26th in the league). They have 115 doubles, while taking a walk 261 times and scoring 309 runs.

The Cleveland pitching staff have surrendered 360 runs this year while holding an ERA of 4.07 (334 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 87 home runs and they surrender 4.38 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB). The Guardians hold a team WHIP of 1.388 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.11 as a team over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.50 (698 strikeouts vs 310 bases on balls). They rank 17th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 716.

Cleveland has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 31 save chances and they have come away with 23 saves. They rank 3rd in the league with a save rate of 74.2%, and they have dispatched 280 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 80 times in high leverage situations and on 72 occasions with base runners. Cleveland relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 38.1% out of their 105 inherited base runners. Sitting with 91 save situations, the Guardians have 59 holds in addition to 8 blown saves.

The Cleveland Guardians have turned 66 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .979 (28th in the majors). The Guardians have 674 assists, 63 errors and are sitting with 2,218 putouts on the campaign. In 6,654 innings played, the Guardians hold a defensive efficiency of 67.7% (28th in MLB).

In his career, Williams has allowed 215 hits while he has earned 242 K's in 244 innings. He has given up a total of 108 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.364 and having a FIP of 3.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.05 and he has faced 1,052 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. Williams (11-19 career mark) holds a 3.98 ERA while surrendering 7.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Detroit (-144)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here