Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 5/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Friday, May 30, 2025

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (-196) Kansas City (+162)

The Kansas City Royals (30-27) will go up against the Detroit Tigers (37-20) at Kauffman Stadium on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has the Tigers at -196 and the Royals are at +162. The total comes in at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Casey Mize and Seth Lugo.

The Tigers have recorded 90 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 65 balls out of the stadium. Detroit is slugging .408 and have struck out 510 times, while taking a walk on 190 occasions. As a team, the Detroit Tigers are notching 5.1 runs per game, which ranks them 4th in MLB. They have 275 runs batted in as well as 485 hits for the year, and their average at the plate is at .252. They have earned a total of 288 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .325.

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The Tigers are sitting with a team ERA of 3.22 over the course of the season (4th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 495 hitters. Tigers pitchers have allowed 56 home runs and 204 runs (8th in the league). They have walked 163 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.68 as a team so far this season. Detroit has allowed 424 hits (7.5 per 9 innings) and 182 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.04 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.16.

The Tigers bullpen have a save percentage of 68.0% and have entered the game in 58 save situations. The relievers have inherited 85 base runners on the campaign with 27.1% of those players earned a run for their team. Tigers relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 62 times and also have had 48 appearances in high leverage situations. The Tigers have sent 169 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The bullpen have racked up 31 holds for the year (15th in the league). They have recorded 17 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 8 of their 25 save opportunities.

The Tigers have transformed 71.7% of balls in play into outs in their 4,572 innings, ranking them 6th in MLB. The Colorado Rockies have 1,524 putouts this year, as well as 481 assists and 24 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .988 which puts them in 7th in pro baseball, and they have turned 43 double plays.

Mize has taken the mound for 338 frames and has racked up 267 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.10 (154 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.260. He has given up 331 hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 95 walks. Mize (15-20 career record) holds a FIP of 4.04 while he has faced 1,430 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

The Kansas City Royals have an on-base percentage of .301 and a batting average of .246 for the year. They have struck out on 398 occasions (28th in baseball) and have tallied 469 base hits. Kansas City has recorded 33 home runs on the year to go along with 185 runs batted in. The Royals have a team slugging % of .361 and they have an average of 3.30 runs per contest (27th in baseball). They have tallied 97 doubles, while walking 136 times as well as scoring 188 runs.

The Kansas City pitching staff have relinquished 193 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.15 (178 earned runs allowed). They have yielded 53 homers and they allow 3.42 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league). The Royals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.191 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.65 as a unit so far this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.10 (458 strikeouts against 158 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 13th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 447.

Kansas City relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 26.0% out of 73 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 65 times in high leverage situations and also on 56 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 51 save situations, the Royals have earned 29 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. They rank 1st in the league holding a save rate of 81.8%, and they have sent 180 relievers to the hill on the year. Kansas City has called on relievers to enter the game in 22 save opportunities and they have tallied 18 saves.

The Kansas City Royals have gotten 52 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in MLB). The Royals have racked up 518 assists, 23 errors and have earned 1,525 putouts over the course of the season. In 4,575 innings on the field, the Royals hold a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (10th in professional baseball).

Lugo (59-44 career mark) is the owner of a 3.36 ERA while giving up 8.0 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.69 and he has faced 3,709 hitters so far in his MLB career. He has given up 337 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.150 and having a FIP of 3.3. Thus far in his career, Lugo has conceded 803 base knocks and he has 871 punch outs in 903 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Detroit (-196)

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