Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 8/3/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Sunday, August 3, 2025
Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA
TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia
Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (-275) Philadelphia (+220)
The Detroit Tigers (64-46) are traveling to Citizens Bank Park on Sunday where they will meet the Philadelphia Phillies (61-47). The line on this matchup has the Tigers at -275 and the Phillies are priced at +220. The over/under has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Charlie Morton and Cristopher Sanchez.


As a unit, the Detroit Tigers are earning 4.8 runs per contest, which puts them at 6th in the league. They have earned a total of 532 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .319. The Tigers have tallied 174 doubles as a unit and have hit 138 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 512 runs batted in and 927 base knocks for the year, and their batting average comes in at .250. Detroit has a slugging % of .421 and have been called out on strikes 969 times, while being walked on 342 occasions.
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The Tigers hold a team ERA of 3.76 this year (10th in the league), and they have rung up 939 hitters. Tigers pitchers have given up 116 home runs in addition to 451 runs in total (10th in MLB). They have walked 316 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.82 as a squad this season. Detroit has given up 888 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 407 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.97 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.23.
Tigers relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 121 times and also have had 89 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 52 holds on the season (23rd in MLB). The Tigers relievers have recorded a save rate of 66.7% and have come into the game in 97 save situations. They have compiled 28 saves on the season and have not converted 14 of 42 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 167 runners this year and 26.3% of them earned a run for their team. The Tigers have sent 342 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.
The Colorado Rockies have a tally of 2,926 putouts for the season, in addition to 927 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .986 which ranks 14th in pro baseball, and they have turned 85 double plays. The Tigers have turned 69.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,778 innings, which has them sitting at 14th in baseball.
Morton (7-9 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 4.93 and he has faced 556 batters in the majors. He has allowed 128 hits (9.3 hits per nine innings) and has 53 free passes. His ERA is 5.00 (69 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.457. Morton has taken the hill for 124 frames and has earned 108 K's in his career.
The Philadelphia Phillies have a team OBP of .327 as well as a batting average of .254 this year. They have been called out on strikes on 862 instances (20th in MLB) and have a total of 935 hits. Philadelphia is sitting with 126 home runs on the campaign to go along with 481 runs batted in. The Phillies have a SLG% of .412 and they earn 4.67 runs per contest (9th in the league). They have 174 doubles, while taking a walk 370 times as well as putting up 504 runs.
The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.258 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.70 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They come in at 18th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 901. The Philadelphia pitching staff have conceded 437 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.80 (406 earned runs allowed). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.30 (993 strikeouts vs 308 walks). They have allowed 118 dingers and they allow 4.09 runs per 9 innings (9th in baseball).
Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score rate of 32.7% out of their 104 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 111 times in high leverage situations in addition to 72 occasions with runners on. With 93 save situations, the Phillies have accrued 48 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. They sit at 18th in baseball with a save rate of 61.4%, and they have sent 334 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the year. Philadelphia has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 44 save chances and they have walked away with 27 saves.
Out of their 8,652 innings on the field, the Phillies hold a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (24th in the majors). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 72 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .989 (3rd in pro baseball). The Phillies have recorded 924 assists, 41 errors and have earned a total of 2,884 putouts this season.
Sanchez (26-19 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.38 earned run average and has surrendered 8.4 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.73 and he has faced 1,915 batters thus far in his career. He has given up a total of 174 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.189 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.3. Thus far in his career, Sanchez has conceded 434 hits while he has tallied 436 strikeouts in 463 frames.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Detroit (-275)
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Additional Resources:
Philadelphia Phillies - Twitter
Detroit Tigers - Twitter