Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Game 5 Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Friday, October 10, 2025

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (-135) Seattle (+115)

T-Mobile Park is the site where the Seattle Mariners (90-72) will attempt to beat the Detroit Tigers (87-75) on Friday in Game 5 of the ALDS. The moneyline on this game has Detroit at -135 and Seattle is opening at +115. The total comes in at 7. The pitchers expected to start will be Tarik Skubal and George Kirby.

As a team, the Detroit Tigers are earning 4.7 runs/g, which ranks them 11th in the league. They have accumulated 758 runs while having a team OBP of .316. The Tigers have recorded 244 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 198 balls out of the stadium. They have earned 724 RBI's and 1,346 hits for the season, and their average at the plate is .247. Detroit owns a slugging percentage of .413 and have been rung up 1,454 times, while drawing a walk on 511 occasions.

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The Tigers are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.95 this year (16th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,375 batters. Tigers pitchers have allowed 187 home runs in addition to 691 runs in total (16th in the league). They have walked 485 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.05 as a squad on the season. Detroit has allowed 1,309 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 630 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.84 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Tigers have sent 508 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have inherited 258 base runners this season and 28.7% of those players crossed home plate. They have earned 40 saves for the year and have blown 22 out of their 62 chances to save the game. The Tigers relievers have recorded a save percentage of 64.5% and have entered the game in 142 save situations. The bullpen have notched 75 holds on the year (26th in baseball). Tigers bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 182 times in addition to having 140 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Tigers have turned 70.2% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,927 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 13th in professional baseball. The Colorado Rockies have 4,309 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,379 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which is 14th in professional baseball, and they have turned 128 double plays.

Skubal has taken the mound for 766 frames and has totaled 889 punch outs so far in his career. His ERA is 3.08 (262 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.026. He has conceded 614 base hits (7.2 hits per nine innings) with 172 free passes. Skubal (54-37 career mark) has a FIP of 3.03 and he has faced 3,056 opposing batters in the majors.

The Seattle Mariners have accounted for an OBP of .320 in addition to a team batting average of .244 for the season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,446 occasions (6th in the league) and have accounted for 1,345 base hits. Seattle has recorded 238 HRs on the year as well as 734 runs batted in. The Mariners hold a slugging % of .420 and they have an average of 4.73 runs per outing (10th in MLB). They have put up 234 doubles, while walking 544 times as well as racking up 766 runs.

The Seattle pitching staff have relinquished 694 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 3.87 (629 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 192 homers and they surrender 4.27 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB). The Mariners hold a team WHIP of 1.221 in addition to having a FIP of 3.98 as a pitching staff on the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.80 (1,426 strikeouts against 454 free passes). They come in at 15th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,331.

Sitting with 159 save situations, the Mariners have earned 90 holds and also 26 blown saves. Seattle has had relief pitchers take the mound in 69 save opportunities and they have come away with 43 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 216 times in high leverage situations and on 132 occasions with runners on base. Seattle relievers have an inherited score percentage of 25.2% of 147 inherited runners. They rank 19th in MLB with a save rate of 62.3%, and they have sent 550 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond this season.

The Seattle Mariners have turned 118 double plays and have a fielding rate of .988 (7th in MLB). The Mariners have accrued 1,355 assists, 69 errors and have notched a total of 4,388 putouts over the course of the season. In 13,164 innings played, the Mariners have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (12th in baseball).

Kirby (45-34 career record) has a 3.59 earned run average while surrendering 8.7 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 6.68 and he has faced 2,601 batters so far in his career. He has given up a total of 254 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.113 and having a FIP of 3.5. So far in his pro baseball career, Kirby has allowed 616 base hits while accumulating 621 strikeouts in 637 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Detroit (-135)

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