Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 10/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Sunday, October 5, 2025

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+110) Seattle (-130)

The Detroit Tigers (87-75) are traveling to T-Mobile Park on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the Seattle Mariners (90-72) in Game 2 of the ALDS. The odds on this game have Detroit at +110 while Seattle is opening at -130. The total has been set at 7. The pitchers expected to start will be Tarik Skubal and Luis Castillo.

The Tigers have accumulated 244 doubles as a team and have knocked 198 baseballs out of the stadium. Detroit is slugging .413 and have struck out 1,454 times, while taking a walk on 511 occasions. As a unit, the Detroit Tigers are knocking in 4.7 runs per contest, which is 11th in baseball. They have 724 runs batted in and 1,346 hits on the season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .247. They are sitting with 758 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .316.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.84 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.25. Tigers pitchers have yielded 187 home runs and 691 runs (16th in MLB). Detroit has conceded 1,309 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and also 630 earned runs. The Tigers hold a team earned run average of 3.95 on the season (16th in baseball), and they have rung up 1,375 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 485 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.05 as a unit for the season.

Tigers pitchers have entered the game with runners on 182 times as well as having 140 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have earned 75 holds so far this year (26th in baseball). The Tigers relievers have accumulated a save rate of 64.5% and have entered the game in 142 save situations. They have accumulated 40 saves for the year and have blown 22 of 62 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 258 base runners so far this season and 28.7% of those players crossed the plate. The Tigers have dispatched 508 relief pitchers to the hill on the season.

The Colorado Rockies have a total of 4,309 putouts thus far, as well as 1,379 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which has them sitting 14th in the majors, and they have turned 128 double plays. The Tigers have converted 70.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,927 innings, ranking them 13th in baseball.

Skubal (54-37 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.03 while he has faced 3,056 hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 614 base knocks (7.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 172 walks. His ERA is 3.08 (262 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.026. Skubal has taken the mound for 766 frames and has racked up 889 strikeouts thus far in his career.

The Mariners have a team slugging percentage of .420 and they earn 4.73 runs per game (10th in MLB). They have put up 234 doubles, while taking a walk 544 times and putting up 766 runs. Seattle has knocked in 238 home runs on the season to go along with 734 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,446 occasions (6th in MLB) and have notched a total of 1,345 hits. The Seattle Mariners have earned an on-base percentage of .320 as well as a batting average of .244 so far this season.

The Mariners have a WHIP of 1.221 with a FIP of 3.98 as a squad over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.80 (1,426 strikeouts vs 454 bases on balls). They come in at 15th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,331. They have given up 192 homers and they concede 4.27 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball). The Seattle pitching staff have surrendered 694 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 3.87 (629 earned runs given up).

Seattle has had relievers step onto the mound in 69 save chances and they have earned 43 saves. They rank 19th in the league holding a save percentage of 62.3%, and they have dispatched 550 relievers onto the diamond this year. Their relievers have come in 216 times in high leverage situations in addition to 132 occasions with runners on base. Seattle relievers hold an inherited score rate of 25.2% of 147 inherited base runners. With 159 save situations, the Mariners have 90 holds in addition to 26 blown saves.

Out of their 13,164 innings played, the Mariners have a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (12th in baseball). The Seattle Mariners have gotten 118 double plays and have a fielding rate of .988 (7th in pro baseball). The Mariners have racked up 1,355 assists, 69 errors and are sitting with 4,388 putouts so far this year.

During his pro baseball career, Castillo has allowed 1,208 base knocks while totaling 1,493 strikeouts in 1,410 innings pitched. Castillo (84-84 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.55 earned run average while allowing 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 557 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.178 and a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.30 and he has gone up against 5,824 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Seattle (-130)

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