Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/12/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Friday, September 12, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-122) Atlanta (+102)

The Atlanta Braves (65-81) will compete against the Houston Astros (79-67) at Truist Park on Friday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Astros at -122 while the Braves are at +102. The over/under has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Hunter Brown and Hurston Waldrep.

The Astros have compiled 226 doubles as a unit and have knocked 162 balls out of the park. Houston is slugging .401 and have been called out on strikes 1,160 times, while taking a walk on 433 occasions. As a unit, the Houston Astros are scoring 4.2 runs per outing, which is 25th in the league. They have 587 RBI's in addition to 1,252 base knocks this year, and their team batting average sits at .253. They are sitting with 615 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .318.

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The Astros have compiled a team earned run average of 3.83 over the course of the season (8th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,381 batters. Astros pitchers have yielded 176 home runs in addition to 596 runs (7th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 459 opposing players and their FIP is 3.97 as a team so far this year. Houston has allowed 1,128 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) as well as 555 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.01 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.22.

Astros relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 117 times and also have had 161 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 84 holds for the year (12th in MLB). The Astros relievers have accumulated a save rate of 71.9% and have come into the game in 144 save situations. They have tallied 41 saves for the season and have blown 16 of their 57 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 160 runners on the season and 23.1% of those runners ended up scoring. The Astros have sent 467 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Detroit Tigers are sitting with 3,909 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,150 assists and 63 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which has them sitting 8th in pro baseball, and have 95 double plays. The Astros have transformed 70.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,727 innings, which ranks them 8th in pro baseball.

Brown has taken the mound for 513 frames and is sitting with 569 K's during his career. His ERA is 3.47 (198 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.208. He has conceded 446 base hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) with 174 free passes. Brown (35-29 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.42 while he has gone up against 2,115 opposing batters in the major leagues.

Atlanta has accounted for 162 long balls on the year as well as 612 runs batted in. They have notched 220 two-baggers, while getting a free base 508 times and earning 633 runs. The Atlanta Braves hold an on-base percentage of .317 and a team batting average of .242 for the year. The Braves hold a slugging % of .391 and they score 4.34 runs per contest (17th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 1,254 occasions (11th in the league) and have tallied 1,202 base hits.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.312 in addition to having a FIP of 4.27 as a staff this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.80 (1,260 strikeouts against 487 bases on balls). They come in at 17th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,209. They have relinquished 179 dingers and they allow 4.68 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB). The Atlanta pitching staff have conceded 672 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 4.42 (635 earned runs given up).

Atlanta has called on relievers to enter the contest in 49 save chances and they have walked away with 29 saves. They rank 23rd in MLB holding a save rate of 59.2%, and they have sent 470 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 156 times in high leverage situations and also on 149 occasions with runners on. Atlanta relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 39.5% out of their 200 inherited base runners. Sitting with 109 save situations, the Braves have accumulated 60 holds in addition to 20 blown saves.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 96 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in pro baseball). The Braves have recorded 1,237 assists, 52 errors and have 3,879 putouts on the season. In 11,637 innings played, the Braves are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (15th in pro baseball).

Thus far in his career, Waldrep has given up 36 base hits and he has 41 strikeouts in 47 innings pitched. Waldrep (4-1 career mark) has earned a 3.62 ERA while giving up 6.9 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 19 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.271 and a FIP of 3.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.71 and he has gone up against 196 opposing hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston (-122)

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