Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/13/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Saturday, September 13, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-128) Atlanta (+106)

The Houston Astros (79-67) are on their way to Truist Park on Saturday where they will try to beat the Atlanta Braves (65-81). The line on this matchup has Houston at -128 while Atlanta is priced at +106. The betting total comes in at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Framber Valdez and Bryce Elder.

Houston has a slugging rate of .401 and have been called out on strikes 1,160 times, while drawing a walk on 433 occasions. They have accrued 587 RBI's and 1,252 hits so far this season, and their batting average sits at .253. The Astros have recorded 226 two-baggers as a team and have hit 162 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 615 runs and have an on-base percentage of .318. As a squad, the Houston Astros are compiling 4.2 runs per outing, which ranks them 25th in MLB.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.01 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.22. Astros pitchers have relinquished 176 home runs in addition to 596 runs (7th in baseball). Houston has surrendered 1,128 base knocks (7.8 per 9 innings) as well as 555 earned runs. The Astros are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.83 this year (8th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,381 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 459 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.97 as a unit for the year.

The Astros have dispatched 467 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 160 runners on the year and 23.1% of them crossed the plate. They have tallied 41 saves for the year and have blown 16 of their 57 save opportunities. The Astros bullpen have earned a save percentage of 71.9% and have stepped onto the mound in 144 save situations. The bullpen have racked up 84 holds this year (12th in baseball). Astros relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 117 times in addition to having 161 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Astros have turned 70.7% of balls hit into play into outs in their 11,727 innings on the field, which has them ranked 8th in MLB. The Detroit Tigers have a total of 3,909 putouts this year, as well as 1,150 assists and 63 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .988 which ranks 8th in MLB, and they have turned 95 double plays.

Valdez has thrown 1,064 innings and has accounted for 1,037 strikeouts thus far in his career. Valdez (80-50 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.27 and he has faced 4,406 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.32 (393 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.195. He has conceded 893 base knocks (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 379 walks.

The Braves hold a slugging percentage of .391 and they have an average of 4.34 runs per contest (17th in MLB). They have notched 220 doubles, while walking 508 times and earning 633 runs. Atlanta has knocked in 162 long balls this year to go along with 612 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,254 instances (11th in the league) and are sitting with 1,202 base hits. The Atlanta Braves have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .317 and a team batting average of .242 on the season.

The Atlanta pitching staff have given up 672 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 4.42 (635 earned runs surrendered). They have relinquished 179 homers and they relinquish 4.68 runs per 9 innings (21st in baseball). The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.312 in addition to having a FIP of 4.27 as a unit this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.80 (1,260 strikeouts against 487 walks). They have a ranking of 17th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,209.

Atlanta relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 39.5% out of 200 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 156 times in high leverage situations in addition to 149 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 109 save situations, the Braves have accrued 60 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. They rank 23rd in the league holding a save percentage of 59.2%, and they have dispatched 470 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. Atlanta has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 49 save opportunities and they have tallied 29 saves.

Out of their 11,637 innings played, the Braves have a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (15th in MLB). The Atlanta Braves have gotten 96 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in baseball). The Braves have recorded 1,237 assists, 52 errors and have earned a total of 3,879 putouts so far this year.

So far in his career, Elder has surrendered 414 hits while accumulating 332 strikeouts in 416 innings. Elder (23-22 career win-loss mark) has earned a 4.56 earned run average while giving up 9.0 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 211 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.358 and having a FIP of 4.5. His K/BB ratio is 2.20 and he has faced 1,787 hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston (-128)

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