Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/14/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Sunday, September 14, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-145) Atlanta (+125)

The Houston Astros (79-68) are hitting the road to Truist Park on Sunday where they will meet the Atlanta Braves (65-81). The odds on this game have the Astros at -145 while the Braves open at +125. The total is 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Framber Valdez and Joey Wentz.

The Astros have hit 226 doubles as a unit and have hit 162 balls out of the park. Houston has a slugging rate of .399 and have been called out on strikes 1,169 times, while drawing a walk on 434 occasions. As a unit, the Houston Astros are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 25th in baseball. They have accumulated 587 RBI's and 1,254 base knocks so far this season, and their team batting average comes in at .252. They have a total of 615 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .317.

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Their K/BB ratio is 3.01 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.22. Astros pitchers have allowed 177 home runs in addition to 602 runs in total (8th in MLB). Houston has surrendered 1,136 base knocks (7.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 560 earned runs. The Astros have an earned run average of 3.84 on the campaign (8th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,387 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 461 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.97 as a unit on the year.

Astros pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 117 times and also have had 161 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 84 holds on the year (12th in MLB). The Astros bullpen have a save percentage of 71.9% and have entered the game in 144 save situations. They have compiled 41 saves on the year and have not converted 16 of 57 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 160 runners over the course of the season and 23.1% of those players crossed home plate. The Astros have dispatched 468 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Detroit Tigers have earned a total of 3,933 putouts thus far, as well as 1,156 assists and 64 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .988 which puts them in 8th in the majors, and they have turned 95 double plays. The Astros have transformed 70.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,799 innings, ranking them 8th in pro baseball.

Valdez has taken the mound for 1,064 innings and has accounted for 1,037 punch outs in his MLB career. Valdez (80-50 mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.27 while going up against 4,406 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.32 (393 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.195. He has surrendered 893 hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) with 379 walks.

Atlanta has recorded 162 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 612 runs batted in. They have recorded 220 two-baggers, while taking a walk 508 times as well as putting up 633 runs. The Atlanta Braves are sitting with an on-base percentage of .317 in addition to a team batting average of .242 so far this year. The Braves hold a team slugging % of .391 and they average 4.34 runs per contest (17th in the league). They have been rung up on 1,254 instances (11th in the league) and are sitting with 1,202 hits.

The Atlanta pitching staff have surrendered 672 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.42 (635 earned runs given up). They have given up 179 dingers and they concede 4.68 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB). The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.312 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.27 as a staff on the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.80 (1,260 strikeouts against 487 walks). They have a ranking of 15th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,209.

Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 49 save chances and they have tallied 29 saves. They are currently ranked 23rd in MLB holding a save rate of 59.2%, and they have sent 470 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 156 times in high leverage situations and on 149 occasions with runners on. Atlanta relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 39.5% out of their 200 inherited runners. With 109 save situations, the Braves have earned 60 holds in addition to 20 blown saves.

The Atlanta Braves have gotten 96 double plays and have a fielding rate of .990 (2nd in professional baseball). The Braves have accrued 1,237 assists, 52 errors and have a total of 3,879 putouts during this campaign. In 11,637 innings on the field, the Braves are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.9% (15th in professional baseball).

During his career, Wentz has given up 310 hits and he has 275 K's in 290 innings. Wentz (11-23 career win-loss record) has a 5.58 earned run average and has allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 180 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.520 and having a FIP of 5.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.10 and he has gone up against 1,310 batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston (-145)

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