Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 8/1/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Friday, August 1, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-210) Boston (+172)

The Houston Astros (62-47) are hitting the road to Fenway Park on Friday where they will compete against the Boston Red Sox (59-51). The odds on this game have Houston at -210 while Boston is at +172. The total is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Hunter Brown and Cooper Criswell.

Houston has a slugging % of .405 and have been rung up 858 times, while drawing a walk on 316 occasions. They have accumulated 451 RBI's in addition to 946 hits for the season, and their average at the plate is .257. The Astros have hit 164 doubles as a team and have smacked 120 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 473 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .322. As a team, the Houston Astros are notching 4.3 runs per contest, which has them at 16th in baseball.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.25 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.19. Astros pitchers have yielded 126 home runs and also 424 runs in total (6th in the league). Houston has yielded 830 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 398 earned runs. The Astros have a team earned run average of 3.69 on the campaign (8th in baseball), and they have rung up 1,057 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 325 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.73 as a unit on the year.

Astros relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 75 times in addition to having 109 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 68 holds for the year (9th in the league). The Astros relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 73.9% and have entered the game in 115 save situations. They have 34 saves on the year and have blown 12 of their 46 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 104 base runners on the season and 26.9% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Astros have dispatched 338 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign.

The Detroit Tigers have earned 2,913 putouts this year, as well as 850 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which is 8th in MLB, and have a total of 69 double plays. The Astros have turned 70.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of 8,739 innings, which ranks them 10th in the majors.

Brown has taken the mound for 470 frames and has totaled 528 punch outs thus far in his career. His earned run average is 3.66 (191 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.221. He has surrendered 414 base hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has 160 free passes. Brown (33-27 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.60 and he has gone up against 1,940 hitters in the majors.

The Boston Red Sox have earned an on-base percentage of .323 in addition to a batting average of .253 so far this year. They have struck out on 995 instances (3rd in the league) and have recorded 959 base knocks. Boston is sitting with 137 home runs on the year to go along with 523 runs batted in. The Red Sox hold a slugging % of .432 and they average 4.95 runs per contest (4th in the league). They have put up 226 doubles, while getting a free base 353 times as well as earning 545 runs.

The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.298 and have a FIP of 3.97 as a unit for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.40 (916 strikeouts against 364 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 22nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 915. They have given up 112 homers and they relinquish 4.36 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB). The Boston pitching staff have relinquished 477 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 3.76 (412 earned runs given up).

Boston has called on relievers to take the mound in 52 save chances and they have walked away with 30 saves. They are ranked 24th in the league with a save percentage of 57.7%, and they have dispatched 359 relief pitchers to the hill this season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 139 times in high leverage situations and also on 111 occasions with runners on base. Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 32.9% of 146 inherited runners. With 115 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 61 holds in addition to 22 blown saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 91 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .979 (29th in MLB). The Red Sox have 1,009 assists, 84 errors and have accounted for 2,955 putouts this year. Out of their 8,865 innings on the field, the Red Sox have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (25th in professional baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Criswell has allowed 167 base hits while he has accumulated 109 punch outs in 147 innings pitched. Criswell (8-7 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 4.65 ERA while surrendering 10.2 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 76 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.447 and a FIP of 4.6. His K/BB ratio is 2.37 and he has gone up against 651 batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston (-210)

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