Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 8/2/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, August 2, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-128) Boston (+106)

Fenway Park is the location where the Boston Red Sox (59-51) will attempt to defeat the Houston Astros (62-47) on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Astros at -128 while the Red Sox open at +106. The betting total is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Colton Gordon and Walker Buehler.

As a team, the Houston Astros are knocking in 4.3 runs per game, which has them sitting at 16th in baseball. They have notched a total of 473 runs scored while having a team OBP of .322. The Astros have accumulated 164 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 120 balls out of the stadium. They have 451 RBI's as well as 946 hits this year, while their team batting average is at .257. Houston has a slugging rate of .405 and have been called out on strikes 858 times, while taking a walk on 316 occasions.

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The Astros have an ERA of 3.69 for the year (8th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,057 batters. Astros pitchers have given up 126 home runs in addition to 424 runs in total (6th in baseball). They have walked 325 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.73 as a team on the year. Houston has relinquished 830 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 398 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.25 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.19.

The Astros have dispatched 338 relievers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 104 runners on the season and 26.9% of those runners ended up scoring. They have compiled 34 saves for the season and have not converted 12 of their 46 chances to save the game. The Astros bullpen have compiled a save rate of 73.9% and have stepped onto the mound in 115 save situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 68 holds so far this year (9th in the league). Astros bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 75 times in addition to having 109 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Astros have converted 70.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 8,739 innings on the field, which ranks them 10th in pro baseball. The Detroit Tigers have earned 2,913 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 850 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .988 which puts them in 8th in professional baseball, and they have turned 69 double plays.

Gordon has taken the mound for 62 frames and has earned 54 K's so far in his career. Gordon (4-3 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.70 and he has faced 275 batters in the majors. His ERA is 4.77 (33 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.431. He has surrendered 78 hits (11.3 hits per nine innings) and has 11 free passes.

The Red Sox hold a team slugging % of .432 and they score 4.95 runs per outing (4th in the league). They have 226 doubles, while taking a walk 353 times and scoring 545 runs. Boston has accumulated 137 home runs so far this year as well as 523 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 995 occasions (3rd in the league) and have recorded 959 base knocks. The Boston Red Sox hold a team OBP of .323 and a batting average of .253 so far this year.

The Boston pitching staff have yielded 477 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 3.76 (412 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 112 long balls and they relinquish 4.36 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.298 in addition to having a FIP of 3.97 as a team on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.40 (916 strikeouts against 364 walks). They have a ranking of 22nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 915.

Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 32.9% out of their 146 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 139 times in high leverage situations and also on 111 occasions with runners on. With 115 save situations, the Red Sox have accrued 61 holds in addition to 22 blown saves. They are currently ranked 24th in baseball with a save percentage of 57.7%, and they have sent 359 relief pitchers onto the diamond so far this season. Boston has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 52 save chances and they have walked away with 30 saves.

In 8,865 innings played, the Red Sox have earned a efficiency on defense of 68.8% (25th in professional baseball). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 91 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .979 (29th in MLB). The Red Sox have 1,009 assists, 84 errors and have earned a total of 2,955 putouts on the campaign.

Buehler (53-28 career record) has earned a 3.54 earned run average while giving up 7.7 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.57 and he has faced 3,306 hitters during his pro baseball career. He has allowed 316 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.142 and having a FIP of 3.5. So far in his pro baseball career, Buehler has surrendered 685 hits and he has 825 strikeouts in 802 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston (-128)

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