Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 6/7/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Saturday, June 7, 2025

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: CLEGuardians.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+110) Cleveland (-130)

Progressive Field is the location where the Cleveland Guardians (33-27) will take on the Houston Astros (33-28) on Saturday. The line on this matchup has the Astros at +110 and the Guardians are coming in at -130. The total is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Hunter Brown and Gavin Williams.

The Astros have accumulated 83 doubles as a squad and have smacked 61 balls out of the park. Houston has a slugging rate of .389 and have been called out on strikes 469 times, while being walked on 174 occasions. As a unit, the Houston Astros are notching 4.0 runs per game, which has them sitting at 24th in the league. They have tallied 231 runs batted in and 509 hits this year, and their team batting average is at .251. They have accounted for 242 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .317.

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The Astros have an ERA of 3.59 on the season (10th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 576 batters. Astros pitchers have relinquished 59 home runs in addition to 227 runs in total (8th in baseball). They have walked 188 hitters and their FIP is 3.53 as a unit on the campaign. Houston has yielded 435 hits (7.3 per 9 innings) and 214 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.06 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.16.

The Astros have sent 190 relievers to the hill on the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 70 runners on the campaign with 30.0% of them crossed the plate. They have recorded 17 saves this year and have missed out on 6 of their 23 save chances. The Astros bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 73.9% and have entered the game in 61 save situations. The relief pitchers have 38 holds this year (12th in baseball). Astros relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 47 times as well as having 54 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Detroit Tigers have a tally of 1,609 putouts for the season, as well as 454 assists and 25 errors. Their fielding rate is at .988 which has them ranked 9th in the majors, and have a total of 35 double plays. The Astros have converted 71.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of 4,827 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 6th in the majors.

Brown (32-25 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 3.62 while he has gone up against 1,731 hitters in the majors. He has given up 375 base knocks (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 142 walks. His ERA is 3.67 (171 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.233. Brown has taken the hill for 419 innings and has totaled 463 punch outs thus far in his career.

The Guardians have a SLG% of .381 and they have an average of 4.02 runs per game (21st in baseball). They have 85 doubles, while getting a free base 191 times and putting up 241 runs. Cleveland has compiled 63 HRs for the season as well as 228 runs batted in. They have struck out on 482 occasions (20th in MLB) and have notched a total of 462 base knocks. The Cleveland Guardians have tallied an on-base percentage of .308 as well as a team batting average of .236 on the year.

The Cleveland pitching staff have surrendered 254 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 3.99 (234 earned runs relinquished). They have given up 66 homers and they surrender 4.33 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The Guardians hold a team WHIP of 1.374 and have a FIP of 4.09 as a team over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.80 (518 strikeouts vs 222 bases on balls). They sit at 19th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 504.

Sitting with 70 save situations, the Guardians have amassed 46 holds and 5 blown saves. Cleveland has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 23 save chances and they have tallied 18 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 53 times in high leverage situations and on 49 occasions with base runners. Cleveland relievers hold an inherited score rate of 32.9% out of their 70 inherited runners. They sit at 2nd in baseball with a save percentage of 78.3%, and they have sent 205 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The Cleveland Guardians have turned 47 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .981 (26th in professional baseball). The Guardians have 458 assists, 39 errors and have earned a total of 1,586 putouts this year. In 4,758 innings played, the Guardians are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 68.0% (24th in MLB).

So far in his career, Williams has conceded 190 base knocks and he has 226 punch outs in 217 innings pitched. Williams (11-18 career record) has a 3.98 earned run average and has given up 7.9 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 96 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.350 and a FIP of 3.9. His K/BB ratio is 2.19 and he has gone up against 934 hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cleveland (-130)

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