Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins

Date: Tuesday, August 5, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-122) Miami (+102)

loanDepot park is the site where the Miami Marlins (55-55) will play the Houston Astros (62-50) on Tuesday. The odds on this game have Houston at -122 and Miami is coming in at +102. The over/under is set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Spencer Arrighetti and Cal Quantrill.

As a unit, the Houston Astros are putting up 4.3 runs/g, which ranks them 20th in baseball. They have notched a total of 478 runs scored and hold an OBP of .321. The Astros have accumulated 166 doubles as a unit and have knocked 123 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 456 runs batted in as well as 970 base knocks over the course of the season, while their team batting average is at .257. Houston has a slugging rate of .403 and have been rung up 875 times, while being walked on 325 occasions.

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The Astros have a team ERA of 3.71 so far this year (8th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,081 hitters. Astros pitchers have given up 129 home runs in addition to 439 total runs (5th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 331 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.75 as a squad so far this season. Houston has conceded 854 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 411 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.27 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.19.

The Astros have dispatched 347 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have inherited 107 runners for the year with 26.2% of them crossed the plate. They have accumulated 34 saves this season and have not converted 12 out of their 46 chances to save the game. The Astros bullpen have recorded a save rate of 73.9% and have come into the game in 115 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 68 holds on the year (10th in MLB). Astros relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 78 times as well as having 112 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Detroit Tigers have accounted for 2,988 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 875 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .988 which has them ranked 7th in the majors, and they have turned 70 double plays. The Astros have turned 70.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 8,964 innings, ranking them 11th in the majors.

Arrighetti (8-14 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.54 and he has gone up against 671 hitters in the majors. He has given up 143 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 70 free passes. His ERA is 4.61 (79 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.381. Arrighetti has pitched in 154 frames and has racked up 179 punch outs in his MLB career.

Miami is sitting with 105 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 456 RBIs. They have hit 186 two-baggers, while getting a free base 332 times and scoring 475 runs. The Miami Marlins have earned an on-base percentage of .316 as well as a team batting average of .252 on the year. The Marlins have a team SLG% of .396 and they average 4.32 runs per outing (17th in MLB). They have struck out on 870 instances (25th in the league) and have totaled 946 hits.

The Marlins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.298 and have a FIP of 4.06 as a unit for the year. They are sitting at 20th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 927. The Miami pitching staff have given up 515 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 4.38 (476 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.00 (873 strikeouts vs 344 free passes). They have given up 116 HR's and they yield 4.73 runs per 9 innings (24th in baseball).

Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 31.7% of 123 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 119 times in high leverage situations and on 85 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 109 save situations, the Marlins have 62 holds in addition to 18 blown saves. They sit at 18th in baseball holding a save percentage of 60.9%, and they have sent 345 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the year. Miami has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 46 save opportunities and they have walked away with 28 saves.

In their 8,814 innings played, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (16th in pro baseball). The Miami Marlins have gotten 77 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in pro baseball). The Marlins have accrued 960 assists, 57 errors and have a tally of 2,938 putouts during this campaign.

So far in his pro baseball career, Quantrill has conceded 813 hits while totaling 614 K's in 816 innings pitched. Quantrill (47-42 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.16 ERA and has conceded 9.0 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 377 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.315 and having a FIP of 4.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.36 and he has faced 3,473 hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston (-122)

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