Houston Astros vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 5/7/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Houston Astros vs Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Wednesday, May 7, 2025
Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI
TV: FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin
Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+102) Milwaukee (-122)
The Houston Astros (17-17) are hitting the road to American Family Field on Wednesday where they will compete against the Milwaukee Brewers (18-18). The line on this contest has Houston at +102 while Milwaukee is coming in at -122. The total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Framber Valdez and Quinn Priester.


As a team, the Houston Astros are putting up 4.0 runs/g, which has them sitting at 19th in baseball. They have accounted for 132 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .314. The Astros have accounted for 43 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 29 balls out of the park. They have accrued 125 RBI's as well as 265 hits on the year, while their team batting average comes in at .243. Houston is slugging .370 and have struck out 263 times, while drawing a walk on 104 occasions.
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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.12 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.13. Astros pitchers have surrendered 30 home runs and also 119 total runs (4th in the league). Houston has relinquished 230 base hits (7.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 108 earned runs. The Astros have a team earned run average of 3.34 over the course of the season (5th in the league), and their staff has rung up 303 hitters. They have walked 97 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.43 as a team on the season.
Astros pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 26 times in addition to having 28 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 23 holds over the course of the season (11th in the league). The Astros bullpen have compiled a save rate of 69.2% and have come into the game in 36 save situations. They have recorded 9 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 4 of their 13 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 37 base runners for the season and 29.7% of them ended up scoring. The Astros have dispatched 106 relief pitchers to the hill this season.
The Detroit Tigers have a tally of 872 putouts thus far, in addition to 251 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which has them ranked 10th in the majors, and have a total of 18 double plays. The Astros have turned 72.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,616 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 6th in MLB.
Valdez (69-45 record in his career) has a FIP of 3.30 while he has gone up against 3,852 opposing hitters in the majors. He has conceded 778 base knocks (7.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 336 walks. His ERA is 3.35 (346 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.199. Valdez has thrown 929 innings and has tallied 903 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career.
The Milwaukee Brewers have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .316 and a batting average of .238 for the season. They have been called out on strikes on 276 occasions (19th in baseball) and have earned 277 hits. Milwaukee has a total of 28 HRs this season as well as 146 runs batted in. The Brewers hold a slugging % of .356 and they average 4.71 runs per game (10th in baseball). They have recorded 45 doubles, while getting a free base 121 times and scoring 165 runs.
The Milwaukee pitching staff have surrendered 159 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.32 (147 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 43 home runs and they allow 4.68 runs per 9 innings (22nd in the league). The Brewers have a WHIP of 1.343 with a FIP of 4.50 as a staff on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.30 (281 strikeouts vs 135 free passes). They rank 16th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 276.
Milwaukee bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 47.9% out of 48 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 30 times in high leverage situations and also on 30 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 29 save situations, the Brewers have 19 holds and also 4 blown saves. They sit at 23rd in baseball holding a save percentage of 55.6%, and they have sent 125 relievers onto the diamond for the season. Milwaukee has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 9 save chances and they have tallied 5 saves.
In their 2,754 innings played, the Brewers have a efficiency on defense of 70.7% (10th in the majors). The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 26 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (24th in professional baseball). The Brewers have recorded 259 assists, 22 errors and are sitting with 918 putouts for the year.
During his pro baseball career, Priester has conceded 139 base knocks while he has totaled 86 strikeouts in 122 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 84 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.603 and being the owner of a FIP of 6.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.51 and he has gone up against 563 hitters thus far in his career. Priester (7-9 career record) has a 6.18 earned run average and has surrendered 10.2 hits per 9 innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-122) and under 8.5 runs
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Additional Resources:
Milwaukee Brewers - Twitter
Houston Astros - Twitter