Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Prediction, 8/9/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs New York Yankees

Date: Saturday, August 9, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-128) New York (+106)

Yankee Stadium is the site where the New York Yankees (61-54) will try to beat the Houston Astros (64-51) on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Astros at -128 and the Yankees are at +106. The betting total comes in at 9. The starting pitchers will be Framber Valdez and Luis Gil.

The Astros have tallied 179 doubles as a squad and have smacked 126 baseballs out of the stadium. Houston is slugging .407 and have struck out 894 times, while taking a walk on 332 occasions. As a unit, the Houston Astros are putting up 4.3 runs per outing, which puts them at 18th in MLB. They have 475 runs batted in as well as 1,005 hits this year, while their team batting average is .258. They have a total of 497 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .322.

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Their K/BB ratio is 3.24 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.20. Astros pitchers have conceded 135 home runs and 450 runs in total (5th in the league). Houston has given up 880 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and also 422 earned runs. The Astros have a team earned run average of 3.72 for the year (8th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,107 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 342 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.80 as a unit this season.

Astros bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 81 times in addition to having 112 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 68 holds on the campaign (12th in MLB). The Astros relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 73.9% and have entered the game in 116 save situations. They have accumulated 34 saves for the year and have blown 12 of their 46 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 110 runners so far this season and 26.4% of those runners crossed home plate. The Astros have sent 358 relievers to the mound for the year.

The Astros have turned 70.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 9,198 innings on the field, which has them ranked 11th in the majors. The Detroit Tigers are sitting with 3,066 putouts on the campaign, as well as 898 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which puts them in 7th in pro baseball, and have a total of 71 double plays.

Valdez has taken the ball for 1,028 innings and has earned 1,010 K's during his career. Valdez (79-46 career mark) has a FIP of 3.19 while he has faced 4,249 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.24 (370 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.186. He has given up 853 base knocks (7.5 hits per nine innings) and has 366 free passes.

New York has hit 182 home runs this season as well as 563 runs batted in. They have tallied 189 two-baggers, while taking a walk 434 times and scoring 587 runs. The New York Yankees have accumulated an on-base percentage of .329 in addition to a team batting average of .250 so far this year. The Yankees hold a slugging percentage of .447 and they average 5.10 runs per outing (3rd in baseball). They have been rung up on 1,007 occasions (6th in MLB) and have 976 base hits.

The New York pitching staff have relinquished 499 runs this season while having a team ERA of 4.05 (457 earned runs given up). They have conceded 129 dingers and they allow 4.42 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB). The Yankees are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.264 and have a FIP of 4.05 as a squad on the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.00 (1,019 strikeouts against 402 walks). They come in at 5th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 882.

New York has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 47 save chances and they have walked away with 31 saves. They are currently ranked 9th in MLB with a save percentage of 66.0%, and they have sent 383 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the campaign. Their relievers have taken the field 117 times in high leverage situations and also on 126 occasions with base runners. New York relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 26.6% out of 188 inherited runners. With 115 save situations, the Yankees have recorded 67 holds in addition to 16 blown saves.

In 9,150 innings played, the Yankees hold a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (9th in MLB). The New York Yankees have gotten 75 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in professional baseball). The Yankees have racked up 974 assists, 63 errors and have notched a total of 3,050 putouts so far this year.

During his MLB career, Gil has allowed 134 hits and he has 217 K's in 188 innings. Gil (16-9 career mark) has a 3.73 earned run average while giving up 6.4 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 78 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.255 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. His K/BB ratio is 2.13 and he has faced 804 batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston (-128)

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