Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 5/15/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers

Date: Thursday, May 15, 2025

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Rangers Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+150) Texas (-182)

The Texas Rangers (22-21) will take on the Houston Astros (21-20) at Globe Life Field on Thursday. The odds on this game have Houston at +150 and Texas is coming in at -182. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Hunter Brown and Jacob deGrom.

Houston is slugging .379 and have been called out on strikes 326 times, while taking a walk on 133 occasions. They have earned 161 RBI's and 341 hits on the year, while their team batting average sits at .250. The Astros have hit 60 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 35 balls out of the park. They have earned 170 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .322. As a squad, the Houston Astros are notching 4.2 runs per outing, which puts them at 16th in MLB.

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The Astros have an ERA of 3.47 so far this year (8th in the league), and the staff has rung up 380 hitters. Astros pitchers have surrendered 36 home runs and 150 runs (5th in MLB). They have walked 127 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.46 as a unit on the year. Houston has yielded 285 hits (7.1 per 9 innings) as well as 139 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.99 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.14.

The Astros have sent 129 relievers to the mound for the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 45 base runners on the season with 33.3% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have tallied 10 saves so far this year and have not converted 4 out of their 14 save opportunities. The Astros relievers have recorded a save percentage of 71.4% and stepped onto the hill in 40 save situations. The relievers have tallied 26 holds so far this season (12th in MLB). Astros relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 30 times as well as having 30 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Astros have converted 72.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 3,246 innings, which has them sitting at 5th in the majors. The Detroit Tigers have earned 1,082 putouts this season, as well as 312 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .990 which has them ranked 1st in professional baseball, and they have turned 24 double plays.

Brown has taken the hill for 394 innings and has earned 437 strikeouts in his MLB career. Brown (30-23 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.69 while he has faced 1,638 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.74 (164 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.253. He has surrendered 358 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 136 free passes.

Texas has accounted for 44 long balls this year and 143 RBIs. They have 55 doubles, while taking a walk 107 times and putting up 146 runs. The Texas Rangers have tallied a team OBP of .291 and a batting average of .231 so far this year. The Rangers hold a slugging % of .371 and they average 3.40 runs per outing (28th in MLB). They have struck out on 335 occasions (20th in baseball) and have earned a total of 321 base hits.

The Rangers hold a team WHIP of 1.141 with a FIP of 3.50 as a staff on the campaign. They rank 4th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 314. The Texas pitching staff have given up 151 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 3.29 (137 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.10 (338 strikeouts vs 114 walks). They have conceded 34 dingers and they yield 3.62 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league).

Sitting with 49 save situations, the Rangers have 29 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. Texas has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 18 save chances and they have converted 13 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 43 times in high leverage situations and also on 41 occasions with runners on base. Texas relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.8% out of 65 inherited base runners. They rank 6th in the league with a save rate of 72.2%, and they have sent 133 relievers to the hill so far this season.

The Texas Rangers have turned 37 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .989 (6th in professional baseball). The Rangers have 384 assists, 17 errors and have earned a total of 1,125 putouts so far this year. In their 3,375 innings on the diamond, the Rangers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.7% (7th in MLB).

deGrom (87-58 career record) has a 2.53 earned run average and has given up 6.9 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 5.38 and he has gone up against 5,545 batters so far in his career. He has conceded 396 ER's while earning a WHIP of 0.995 and a FIP of 2.5. In his MLB career, deGrom has allowed 1,085 base hits while he has totaled 1,712 strikeouts in 1,410 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (+150)

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