Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 9/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers

Date: Friday, September 5, 2025

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Rangers Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-160) Texas (+132)

Globe Life Field is where the Texas Rangers (72-69) will try to defeat the Houston Astros (77-63) on Friday. The line on this contest has Houston at -160 and Texas is coming in at +132. The over/under comes in at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Hunter Brown and Merrill Kelly.

The Astros have recorded 213 doubles as a unit and have knocked 154 balls out of the stadium. Houston has a slugging % of .400 and have struck out 1,106 times, while drawing a walk on 416 occasions. As a team, the Houston Astros are putting up 4.2 runs per outing, which has them at 24th in the league. They have recorded 562 RBI's and 1,195 hits so far this year, and their batting average is sitting at .253. They have racked up 589 runs and have an OBP of .319.

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The Astros hold a team earned run average of 3.87 on the campaign (8th in MLB), and they have rung up 1,329 hitters. Astros pitchers have given up 171 long balls and 574 runs in total (8th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 435 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.97 as a squad so far this year. Houston has given up 1,087 base knocks (7.8 per 9 innings) and also 536 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.06 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.22.

The Astros have sent 444 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 147 base runners this year with 23.8% of those players crossed the plate. They have recorded 40 saves for the season and have not converted 14 of 54 save chances. The Astros relievers have a save rate of 74.1% and have stepped onto the mound in 136 save situations. The relievers are sitting with 79 holds on the year (13th in MLB). Astros bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 106 times in addition to having 146 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Detroit Tigers have notched a total of 3,743 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,107 assists and 58 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which ranks 7th in professional baseball, and they have turned 90 double plays. The Astros have turned 70.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,229 innings, which ranks them 10th in the majors.

Brown has taken the hill for 507 innings and has accumulated 561 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Brown (34-29 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.46 while he has gone up against 2,090 opposing batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.51 (198 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.209. He has conceded 442 base hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 171 free passes.

Texas has 157 HRs this season to go along with 584 runs batted in. They have put up 216 two-baggers, while getting a free base 426 times as well as putting up 606 runs. The Texas Rangers are sitting with an OBP of .306 and a batting average of .238 so far this year. The Rangers have a slugging percentage of .389 and they score 4.30 runs per contest (20th in the league). They have struck out on 1,147 occasions (17th in the league) and have a total of 1,128 base hits.

The Rangers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.170 and have a FIP of 3.92 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They come in at 2nd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,052. The Texas pitching staff have surrendered 516 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 3.45 (479 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.40 (1,165 strikeouts against 412 free passes). They have allowed 149 long balls and they surrender 3.71 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball).

Texas has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 58 save opportunities and they have tallied 32 saves. They are ranked 26th in MLB holding a save percentage of 55.2%, and they have sent 440 relievers to the hill for the season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 154 times in high leverage situations in addition to 143 occasions with runners on base. Texas bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 32.7% out of their 205 inherited runners. With 133 save situations, the Rangers have recorded 70 holds and also 26 blown saves.

In their 11,262 innings on the field, the Rangers hold a defensive efficiency of 72.4% (1st in pro baseball). The Texas Rangers have gotten 110 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .992 (1st in the majors). The Rangers have racked up 1,208 assists, 42 errors and have amassed 3,754 putouts so far this year.

Kelly (64-51 career mark) has earned a 3.73 ERA while conceding 8.0 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.00 and he has faced 4,050 batters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed a total of 409 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.188 and a FIP of 3.7. During his MLB career, Kelly has surrendered 876 hits while tallying 893 strikeouts in 988 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston (-160)

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