Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 9/7/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers

Date: Sunday, September 7, 2025

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Rangers Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-275) Texas (+220)

The Texas Rangers (72-69) will go up against the Houston Astros (77-64) at Globe Life Field on Sunday. The line on this contest has the Astros at -275 while the Rangers are sitting at +220. The betting total comes in at 9. The starting pitchers are Framber Valdez and Patrick Corbin.

The Astros have tallied 216 doubles as a team and have hit 156 baseballs out of the park. Houston owns a slugging percentage of .401 and have struck out 1,116 times, while being walked on 419 occasions. As a unit, the Houston Astros are compiling 4.2 runs per contest, which puts them at 25th in MLB. They have accumulated 565 runs batted in in addition to 1,205 base knocks over the course of the season, and their team batting average is sitting at .253. They have racked up 593 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .319.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.02 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.22. Astros pitchers have surrendered 173 home runs and also 582 runs in total (9th in MLB). Houston has conceded 1,096 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 544 earned runs. The Astros have a team earned run average of 3.90 over the course of the season (12th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,337 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 442 opposing players and their FIP is 3.99 as a squad this year.

The Astros relievers have recorded a save percentage of 74.1% and have stepped onto the mound in 136 save situations. The relievers have inherited 151 runners so far this season with 23.8% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Astros bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 108 times and also have had 147 appearances in high leverage situations. The Astros have sent 448 relievers to the hill this year. The relievers have notched 79 holds this season (13th in the league). They have 40 saves this year and have blown 14 of 54 save opportunities.

The Astros have turned 70.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,310 innings on the field, which has them sitting 9th in professional baseball. The Detroit Tigers have a total of 3,770 putouts this season, in addition to 1,111 assists and 58 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which has them sitting 6th in the majors, and have 90 double plays.

Valdez has taken the hill for 1,057 frames and has accounted for 1,032 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Valdez (80-49 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.27 while facing 4,380 opposing hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.32 (390 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.197. He has allowed 888 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 378 walks.

Texas has tallied 157 long balls on the campaign as well as 584 RBIs. They have recorded 216 two-baggers, while walking 426 times and scoring 606 runs. The Texas Rangers have accounted for an on-base percentage of .306 and a team batting average of .238 so far this year. The Rangers have a team SLG% of .389 and they average 4.30 runs per contest (20th in the league). They have struck out on 1,147 occasions (18th in the league) and have accounted for 1,128 hits.

The Rangers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.170 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.92 as a team this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.40 (1,165 strikeouts vs 412 walks). They rank 2nd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,052. They have given up 149 home runs and they relinquish 3.71 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball). The Texas pitching staff have allowed 516 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.45 (479 earned runs yielded).

Texas relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 32.7% of 205 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 154 times in high leverage situations in addition to 143 occasions with base runners. With 133 save situations, the Rangers have earned 70 holds and also 26 blown saves. They rank 26th in baseball with a save percentage of 55.2%, and they have dispatched 440 relief pitchers to the hill this season. Texas has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 58 save chances and they have tallied 32 saves.

In 11,262 innings on the field, the Rangers have earned a defensive efficiency of 72.4% (1st in baseball). The Texas Rangers have gotten 110 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .992 (1st in baseball). The Rangers have recorded 1,208 assists, 42 errors and are sitting with 3,754 putouts over the course of the season.

Corbin (110-140 record in his career) has earned a 4.51 ERA and has allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.96 and he has faced 8,724 batters during his pro baseball career. He has allowed 1,017 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.371 and having a FIP of 4.4. So far in his career, Corbin has surrendered 2,158 base hits while he has totaled 1,843 K's in 2,028 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston (-275)

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