Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 8/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, August 5, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+150) Boston (-182)

The Kansas City Royals (56-56) are headed to Fenway Park on Tuesday where they will compete against the Boston Red Sox (62-51). The moneyline on this matchup has the Royals at +150 while the Red Sox are priced at -182. The betting total comes in at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Ryan Bergert and Garrett Crochet.

As a team, the Kansas City Royals are compiling 3.7 runs/g, which is 29th in the league. They have accumulated 411 runs scored and have an OBP of .300. The Royals have accrued 199 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 97 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 404 RBI's in addition to 913 base knocks for the year, while their team batting average is .243. Kansas City is slugging .384 and have been called out on strikes 766 times, while being walked on 272 occasions.

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The Royals hold a team earned run average of 3.52 on the campaign (2nd in the league), and they have struck out 896 hitters. Royals pitchers have surrendered 114 home runs and also 422 total runs (2nd in MLB). They have walked 340 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.91 as a squad so far this season. Kansas City has conceded 884 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 390 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.64 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.23.

Royals bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 112 times and also have had 122 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have accumulated 55 holds this year (22nd in MLB). The Royals relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 68.9% and have come into the game in 101 save situations. They have earned 31 saves so far this season and have missed out on 14 of their 45 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 154 base runners on the campaign with 29.9% of those players crossed the plate. The Royals have sent 371 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign.

The Houston Astros have accumulated 2,992 putouts thus far, as well as 996 assists and 49 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which has them ranked 8th in pro baseball, and have 84 double plays. The Royals have converted 71.2% of balls in play into outs out of 8,976 innings on the field, which has them sitting 5th in professional baseball.

Bergert (1-0 mark in his career) has a FIP of 2.77 while he has gone up against 149 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has given up 24 base hits (6.1 hits per 9 innings) and has had 18 free passes. His earned run average is 2.81 (11 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.193. Bergert has taken the hill for 35 innings and has 34 K's thus far in his career.

Boston has a total of 140 home runs over the course of the season as well as 537 RBIs. They have recorded 234 two-baggers, while getting a free base 359 times as well as notching 560 runs. The Boston Red Sox have compiled a team on-base percentage of .323 as well as a batting average of .253 on the year. The Red Sox hold a slugging % of .432 and they have an average of 4.96 runs per contest (5th in the league). They have struck out on 1,019 occasions (3rd in MLB) and have tallied 983 base hits.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.295 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.99 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.30 (933 strikeouts against 373 walks). They have a ranking of 22nd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 939. They have given up 115 homers and they allow 4.28 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league). The Boston pitching staff have given up 482 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 3.70 (417 earned runs given up).

Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 53 save chances and they have earned 31 saves. They are currently ranked 22nd in the league holding a save percentage of 58.5%, and they have sent 369 bullpen pitchers onto the field this year. Their relief pitchers have come in 141 times in high leverage situations and also on 114 occasions with runners on. Boston relievers hold an inherited score rate of 32.0% out of 150 inherited runners. With 118 save situations, the Red Sox have 63 holds and also 22 blown saves.

In 9,117 innings played, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (25th in MLB). The Boston Red Sox have turned 95 double plays and have a fielding rate of .979 (29th in the majors). The Red Sox have recorded 1,042 assists, 87 errors and have accumulated 3,039 putouts on the campaign.

During his MLB career, Crochet has allowed 296 base knocks while he has totaled 469 K's in 360 innings pitched. Crochet (21-23 career mark) has earned a 2.87 ERA while surrendering 7.4 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 115 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.130 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.23 and he has faced 1,476 opposing hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Kansas City (+150)

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