Kansas City Royals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/13/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, September 13, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+120) Philadelphia (-144)

The Kansas City Royals (74-72) are hitting the road to Citizens Bank Park on Saturday where they will compete against the Philadelphia Phillies (86-60). The odds on this game have Kansas City at +120 and Philadelphia opens at -144. The total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Ryan Bergert and Taijuan Walker.

The Royals have accrued 255 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 138 baseballs out of the park. Kansas City has a slugging percentage of .390 and have struck out 985 times, while drawing a walk on 385 occasions. As a team, the Kansas City Royals are notching 3.8 runs per outing, which is 28th in the league. They have 547 RBI's as well as 1,185 base knocks for the year, and their team batting average comes in at .244. They have tallied 557 runs and have an OBP of .305.

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The Royals hold a team earned run average of 3.66 so far this season (4th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,147 batters. Royals pitchers have given up 147 home runs in addition to 567 runs (3rd in the league). They have walked 435 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.95 as a squad for the season. Kansas City has given up 1,185 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and also 528 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.64 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Royals relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 71.0% and have entered the game in 141 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 202 runners so far this year with 27.2% of those players ended up scoring. Royals pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 147 times as well as having 160 appearances in high leverage situations. The Royals have sent 492 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The bullpen have tallied 78 holds on the campaign (19th in MLB). They have earned 44 saves this year and have blown 18 out of their 62 save opportunities.

The Royals have converted 70.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of 11,673 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 9th in MLB. The Houston Astros have notched a total of 3,891 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,285 assists and 57 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .989 which is 4th in professional baseball, and have a total of 115 double plays.

Bergert has pitched in 72 innings and has racked up 68 K's in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.50 (28 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.234. He has allowed 57 base knocks (7.1 hits per 9 innings) with 32 walks. Bergert (2-2 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.44 and he has gone up against 304 opposing batters in the majors.

Philadelphia has compiled 183 HRs this year and 678 RBIs. They have put up 241 doubles, while taking a walk 478 times and racking up 703 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have tallied an on-base percentage of .330 in addition to a team batting average of .260 on the year. The Phillies hold a team slugging % of .428 and they score 4.82 runs per contest (9th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,183 occasions (21st in baseball) and have accounted for 1,292 hits.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.242 with a FIP of 3.66 as a unit over the course of the season. They come in at 18th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,209. The Philadelphia pitching staff have yielded 581 runs this season while holding an ERA of 3.78 (544 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.30 (1,333 strikeouts against 399 walks). They have given up 154 dingers and they give up 4.04 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball).

Sitting with 140 save situations, the Phillies have accumulated 73 holds in addition to 23 blown saves. Philadelphia has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 64 save opportunities and they have earned 41 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 160 times in high leverage situations and on 95 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.9% of 140 inherited runners. They are ranked 11th in MLB holding a save rate of 64.1%, and they have dispatched 456 relievers to the mound this year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 94 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .990 (3rd in professional baseball). The Phillies have recorded 1,255 assists, 54 errors and are sitting with 3,886 putouts during this campaign. In 11,658 innings played, the Phillies have a efficiency on defense of 68.9% (23rd in pro baseball).

Walker (76-71 career record) has a 4.18 earned run average while giving up 8.5 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.52 and he has gone up against 5,368 opposing batters in his MLB career. He has allowed 588 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.284 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. In his career, Walker has allowed 1,197 base hits and he has 1,078 strikeouts in 1,265 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Kansas City (+120)

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