Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/26/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, July 26, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (-160) Boston (+132)

The Los Angeles Dodgers (60-43) are en route to Fenway Park on Saturday where they will compete against the Boston Red Sox (55-49). The line on this contest has Los Angeles at -160 while Boston is at +132. The betting total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Clayton Kershaw and Garrett Crochet.

As a squad, the Los Angeles Dodgers are compiling 5.3 runs per game, which ranks them 1st in MLB. They have a total of 546 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .329. The Dodgers have hit 166 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 157 balls out of the park. They have amassed 526 runs batted in and 893 base knocks on the year, while their team batting average comes in at .254. Los Angeles is slugging .444 and have been called out on strikes 854 times, while drawing a walk on 371 occasions.

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The Dodgers have compiled a team ERA of 4.28 on the year (23rd in MLB), and they have rung up 908 hitters. Dodgers pitchers have given up 128 home runs and 480 runs in total (23rd in the league). They have walked 365 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.27 as a team on the campaign. Los Angeles has yielded 854 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 438 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.49 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.32.

The Dodgers have dispatched 375 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The relievers have inherited 142 runners so far this season with 27.5% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have earned 30 saves on the campaign and have not converted 16 out of their 46 chances to save the game. The Dodgers relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 65.2% and have entered the game in 126 save situations. The bullpen are sitting with 76 holds over the course of the season (1st in the league). Dodgers relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 92 times and also have had 107 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Dodgers have turned 69.6% of balls in play into outs in their 8,283 innings, which has them ranked 19th in MLB. The Los Angeles Angels have amassed 2,761 putouts thus far, as well as 881 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which has them sitting 15th in MLB, and they have turned 73 double plays.

Kershaw has thrown 2,797 frames and has 3,005 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 2.52 (782 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.015. He has surrendered 2,144 base hits (6.9 hits per 9 innings) with 694 free passes. Kershaw (216-95 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 2.48 while facing 11,044 batters in the major leagues.

The Boston Red Sox hold a team OBP of .322 in addition to a team batting average of .252 on the season. They have struck out on 948 occasions (3rd in the league) and have earned 902 base hits. Boston is sitting with 129 home runs on the season to go along with 489 runs batted in. The Red Sox have a slugging percentage of .427 and they have an average of 4.90 runs per game (5th in baseball). They have put up 209 doubles, while walking 337 times as well as scoring 510 runs.

The Boston pitching staff have yielded 456 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 3.79 (392 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 104 HR's and they surrender 4.41 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.292 and have a FIP of 3.91 as a staff on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.40 (865 strikeouts vs 337 bases on balls). They are sitting at 23rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 866.

Boston relievers hold an inherited score rate of 33.3% out of their 138 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 131 times in high leverage situations in addition to 105 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 104 save situations, the Red Sox have recorded 55 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. They are currently ranked 23rd in baseball with a save rate of 57.4%, and they have dispatched 338 relievers to the mound for the season. Boston has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 47 save opportunities and they have converted 27 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 86 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .979 (29th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have racked up 962 assists, 82 errors and have accumulated 2,795 putouts over the course of the season. In their 8,385 innings played, the Red Sox have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (25th in MLB).

In his MLB career, Crochet has conceded 288 base hits while he has tallied 459 K's in 354 innings. He has surrendered a total of 113 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.121 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.8. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.21 and he has faced 1,450 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Crochet (20-23 record in his career) is the owner of a 2.87 ERA while giving up 7.3 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-160)

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