Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, July 27, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (-145) Boston (+125)

Fenway Park is the site where the Boston Red Sox (55-49) will take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (60-43) on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Dodgers at -145 and the Red Sox are sitting at +125. The over/under is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Dustin May and Walker Buehler.

The Dodgers have compiled 166 doubles as a squad and have hit 157 baseballs out of the park. Los Angeles has a slugging % of .444 and have been rung up 854 times, while being walked on 371 occasions. As a team, the Los Angeles Dodgers are notching 5.3 runs per outing, which ranks them 1st in the league. They have accumulated 526 runs batted in and 893 base knocks on the season, and their batting average is sitting at .254. They have notched a total of 546 runs scored while having a team OBP of .329.

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The Dodgers have an ERA of 4.28 so far this season (23rd in the league), and their staff has struck out 908 hitters. Dodgers pitchers have surrendered 128 home runs and also 480 runs in total (23rd in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 365 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.27 as a unit on the year. Los Angeles has conceded 854 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 438 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.49 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.32.

Dodgers pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 92 times in addition to having 107 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have earned 76 holds so far this season (1st in baseball). The Dodgers bullpen have a save percentage of 65.2% and have stepped onto the mound in 126 save situations. They have compiled 30 saves on the campaign and have blown 16 of 46 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 142 base runners so far this year and 27.5% of them crossed home plate. The Dodgers have dispatched 375 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Los Angeles Angels are sitting with 2,761 putouts thus far, in addition to 881 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which has them ranked 15th in baseball, and have earned 73 double plays. The Dodgers have converted 69.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 8,283 innings on the field, which has them sitting 18th in MLB.

May has taken the mound for 290 frames and has racked up 266 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 3.66 (118 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.158. He has surrendered 236 base hits (7.3 hits per nine innings) and has 100 walks. May (18-15 record in his career) has a FIP of 3.60 and he has faced 1,201 hitters in the major leagues.

The Red Sox hold a slugging % of .427 and they are scoring 4.90 runs per contest (5th in the league). They have hit 209 doubles, while walking 337 times as well as recording 510 runs. Boston has accounted for 129 long balls so far this season as well as 489 RBIs. They have been rung up on 948 occasions (3rd in the league) and have recorded 902 base hits. The Boston Red Sox have an OBP of .322 as well as a batting average of .252 this season.

The Boston pitching staff have conceded 456 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 3.79 (392 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 104 dingers and they relinquish 4.41 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league). The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.292 in addition to having a FIP of 3.91 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.40 (865 strikeouts vs 337 free passes). They have a ranking of 23rd in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 866.

Boston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.3% of 138 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 131 times in high leverage situations and also on 105 occasions with runners on base. With 104 save situations, the Red Sox have amassed 55 holds and also 20 blown saves. They sit at 23rd in baseball holding a save rate of 57.4%, and they have dispatched 338 relief pitchers onto the field this season. Boston has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 47 save opportunities and they have earned 27 saves.

In 8,385 innings played, the Red Sox have earned a efficiency on defense of 68.8% (25th in professional baseball). The Boston Red Sox have turned 86 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .979 (29th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 962 assists, 82 errors and have amassed 2,795 putouts on the campaign.

During his MLB career, Buehler has allowed 681 hits and he has 821 K's in 798 innings. Buehler (53-28 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 3.53 earned run average while conceding 7.7 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 313 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.136 and having a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio is 3.63 and he has faced 3,283 batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-145)

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