Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Monday, July 28, 2025

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (-144) Cincinnati (+120)

The Cincinnati Reds (53-50) will take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (60-43) at Great American Ball Park on Monday. The moneyline on this game has Los Angeles at -144 and Cincinnati is priced at +120. The over/under is 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Shohei Ohtani and Chase Burns.

As a unit, the Los Angeles Dodgers are earning 5.3 runs per outing, which has them at 1st in the league. They have 546 runs and have an OBP of .329. The Dodgers have tallied 166 two-baggers as a team and have hit 157 balls out of the stadium. They have accrued 526 RBI's and 893 base knocks on the year, while their team batting average is .254. Los Angeles has a slugging rate of .444 and have struck out 854 times, while drawing a walk on 371 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.49 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.32. Dodgers pitchers have allowed 128 home runs and also 480 runs in total (23rd in the league). Los Angeles has conceded 854 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 438 earned runs. The Dodgers have an earned run average of 4.28 for the year (23rd in baseball), and the staff has rung up 908 hitters. They have walked 365 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.27 as a squad this season.

Dodgers bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 92 times in addition to having 107 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 76 holds so far this year (1st in MLB). The Dodgers relievers have a save rate of 65.2% and have entered the game in 126 save situations. They have recorded 30 saves for the year and have missed out on 16 of their 46 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 142 base runners for the season with 27.5% of those players earned a run for their team. The Dodgers have sent 375 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Dodgers have transformed 69.6% of balls in play into outs in their 8,283 innings, which has them sitting at 18th in professional baseball. The Los Angeles Angels have earned a total of 2,761 putouts so far this season, in addition to 881 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which puts them in 15th in MLB, and have accumulated 73 double plays.

Ohtani has taken the mound for 493 frames and has accounted for 621 strikeouts during his career. Ohtani (38-19 career mark) holds a FIP of 2.93 and he has gone up against 1,998 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 2.97 (163 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.081. He has surrendered 357 base hits (6.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 176 walks.

Cincinnati has 107 long balls on the season to go along with 441 RBIs. They have notched 163 doubles, while taking a walk 341 times as well as putting up 470 runs. The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .319 and a batting average of .246 over the course of the season. The Reds have a slugging percentage of .394 and they are recording 4.56 runs per contest (12th in the league). They have struck out on 881 occasions (11th in the league) and have 850 hits.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.245 and have a FIP of 4.14 as a pitching staff so far this season. They are sitting at 8th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 808. The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 435 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 3.91 (395 earned runs allowed). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.30 (837 strikeouts against 323 walks). They have allowed 118 home runs and they relinquish 4.31 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league).

Cincinnati has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 35 save opportunities and they have tallied 24 saves. They are currently ranked 8th in the league with a save rate of 68.6%, and they have sent 346 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the year. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 88 times in high leverage situations in addition to 85 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 34.3% out of their 134 inherited base runners. With 100 save situations, the Reds have recorded 63 holds in addition to 11 blown saves.

Out of their 8,178 innings on the field, the Reds are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (6th in pro baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 59 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (22nd in pro baseball). The Reds have accrued 779 assists, 52 errors and have 2,726 putouts on the campaign.

Burns (0-2 career record) holds a 6.79 ERA and has allowed 10.2 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.18 and he has gone up against 100 batters so far in his MLB career. He has surrendered 16 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.651 and having a FIP of 6.7. In his MLB career, Burns has surrendered 24 hits while earning 35 strikeouts in 21 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+120)

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