Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/23/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, May 23, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (-144) New York (+120)

The New York Mets (30-20) will try to beat the Los Angeles Dodgers (31-19) at Citi Field on Friday. The moneyline on this game has Los Angeles at -144 and New York is coming in at +120. The total has been set at 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Clayton Kershaw and Griffin Canning.

As a unit, the Los Angeles Dodgers are putting up 5.7 runs per game, which has them sitting at 3rd in baseball. They have earned a total of 284 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .343. The Dodgers have tallied 86 doubles as a squad and have hit 81 balls out of the park. They have accrued 273 RBI's as well as 454 hits this year, and their batting average is .267. Los Angeles is slugging .471 and have been called out on strikes 409 times, while being walked on 188 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.69 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.29. Dodgers pitchers have conceded 65 home runs in addition to 222 total runs (22nd in the league). Los Angeles has allowed 400 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 205 earned runs. The Dodgers hold a team ERA of 4.16 over the course of the season (22nd in MLB), and their staff has rung up 462 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 172 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.16 as a squad for the year.

The Dodgers relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 63.0% and stepped onto the hill in 68 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 47 base runners so far this season with 23.4% of them ended up scoring. Dodgers bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 35 times as well as having 54 appearances in high leverage situations. The Dodgers have sent 183 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The bullpen have racked up 39 holds so far this season (3rd in the league). They have earned 17 saves on the season and have not converted 10 of their 27 save opportunities.

The Los Angeles Angels have a tally of 1,332 putouts thus far, as well as 430 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .990 which puts them in 2nd in professional baseball, and have 38 double plays. The Dodgers have turned 70.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 3,996 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 16th in the majors.

Kershaw (212-94 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 2.48 and he has gone up against 10,836 opposing hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 2,096 hits (6.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 681 free passes. His earned run average is 2.51 (767 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.011. Kershaw has taken the hill for 2,746 innings and has totaled 2,970 punch outs during his career.

New York has knocked in 53 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 209 RBIs. They have 87 doubles, while taking a walk 182 times as well as racking up 218 runs. The New York Mets have compiled an on-base percentage of .328 in addition to a batting average of .246 on the year. The Mets hold a slugging % of .408 and they have an average of 4.36 runs per outing (12th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 380 occasions (24th in MLB) and have earned 407 base hits.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.255 and have a FIP of 3.34 as a pitching staff for the season. They are currently ranked 8th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 375. The New York pitching staff have given up 162 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 2.82 (138 earned runs given up). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.20 (448 strikeouts vs 177 bases on balls). They have allowed 33 home runs and they yield 3.31 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league).

New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.9% out of their 67 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 63 times in high leverage situations and also on 43 occasions with runners on. With 57 save situations, the Mets have accrued 36 holds and 8 blown saves. They rank 19th in baseball with a save rate of 61.9%, and they have dispatched 157 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. New York has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 21 save chances and they have come away with 13 saves.

The New York Mets have gotten 35 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .986 (17th in pro baseball). The Mets have racked up 436 assists, 25 errors and have earned a total of 1,320 putouts for the season. In 3,960 innings on the diamond, the Mets hold a efficiency on defense of 69.7% (17th in MLB).

Canning (30-35 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.59 ERA while giving up 8.7 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.65 and he has gone up against 2,372 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has conceded a total of 283 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.329 and having a FIP of 4.5. During his pro baseball career, Canning has allowed 538 base hits while he has totaled 529 strikeouts in 555 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (+120)

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