Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 4/4/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Friday, April 4, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-182) Atlanta (+150)

Truist Park is the location where the Atlanta Braves (0-7) will try to beat the Miami Marlins (4-3) on Friday. The odds on this game have Miami at -182 and Atlanta is sitting at +150. The over/under is 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Tyler Phillips and Spencer Schwellenbach.

As a team, the Miami Marlins are compiling 4.1 runs per outing, which puts them at 13th in MLB. They have accounted for 29 runs while holding a team OBP of .317. The Marlins have hit 12 doubles as a squad and have knocked 5 balls out of the park. They have earned 26 RBI's as well as 59 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average sits at .244. Miami is slugging .364 and have been called out on strikes 64 times, while drawing a walk on 24 occasions.

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The Marlins have a team ERA of 3.44 for the year (12th in the league), and their staff has rung up 55 batters. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 9 long balls and 32 total runs (24th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 32 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.52 as a squad so far this season. Miami has yielded 50 hits (6.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 26 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.72 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.21.

Marlins relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 8 times and also have had 15 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have racked up 5 holds this year (11th in the league). The Marlins relief pitchers have a save percentage of 50.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 7 save situations. They have recorded 1 save for the season and have missed out on 1 of 2 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 8 base runners on the campaign and 12.5% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Marlins have sent 25 relief pitchers to the mound on the year.

The Marlins have converted 75.0% of balls in play into outs out of 612 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 7th in MLB. The Los Angeles Dodgers have a tally of 204 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 83 assists and 7 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .976 which has them ranked 26th in MLB, and have 6 double plays.

Phillips has pitched in 41 innings and has racked up 30 strikeouts so far in his career. Phillips (4-1 career mark) has earned a FIP of 6.02 while going up against 178 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 6.12 (28 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.383. He has surrendered 49 hits (10.7 hits per nine innings) with 8 walks.

The Atlanta Braves have a team on-base percentage of .251 as well as a batting average of .151 over the course of the season. They have been called out on strikes on 68 occasions (2nd in the league) and have tallied 33 hits. Atlanta is sitting with 4 HRs this season and 12 runs batted in. The Braves hold a team slugging % of .234 and they are scoring 2.00 runs per contest (28th in baseball). They have put up 6 doubles, while taking a walk 29 times and scoring 14 runs.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.390 and have a FIP of 4.52 as a pitching staff this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.00 (50 strikeouts vs 22 free passes). They have a ranking of 24th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 56. They have surrendered 9 dingers and they yield 5.13 runs per 9 innings (23rd in MLB). The Atlanta pitching staff have surrendered 32 runs for the season while having an ERA of 5.13 (32 earned runs given up).

Atlanta relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 66.7% out of 9 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 7 times in high leverage situations in addition to 6 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 6 save situations, the Braves have 4 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. They are currently ranked 25th in the league with a save rate of 0.0%, and they have sent 23 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the season. Atlanta has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 2 save chances and they have walked away with 0 saves.

The Atlanta Braves have gotten 4 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .991 (10th in pro baseball). The Braves have 60 assists, 2 errors and have a tally of 169 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 507 innings played, the Braves have a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (21st in MLB).

Schwellenbach (8-7 career record) holds a 3.20 earned run average and has allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 5.46 and he has faced 520 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 46 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.014 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.2. In his MLB career, Schwellenbach has conceded 107 hits and he has 131 punch outs in 129 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (+150)

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