Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 4/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-128) Atlanta (+106)

The Miami Marlins (4-3) are on their way to Truist Park on Saturday where they will take on the Atlanta Braves (0-7). The line on this matchup has Miami at -128 while Atlanta is sitting at +106. The over/under comes in at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Max Meyer and AJ Smith-Shawver.

As a team, the Miami Marlins are scoring 4.1 runs per contest, which has them at 13th in MLB. They have earned 29 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .317. The Marlins have accrued 12 two-baggers as a team and have hit 5 baseballs out of the park. They have recorded 26 runs batted in as well as 59 base knocks so far this year, while their team batting average comes in at .244. Miami is slugging .364 and have been called out on strikes 64 times, while taking a walk on 24 occasions.

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The Marlins have a team ERA of 3.44 for the year (12th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 55 hitters. Marlins pitchers have conceded 9 home runs and also 32 total runs (24th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 32 hitters and their FIP is 4.52 as a unit on the season. Miami has yielded 50 hits (6.6 per 9 innings) as well as 26 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 1.72 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.21.

The Marlins have dispatched 25 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have inherited 8 base runners over the course of the season and 12.5% of those players earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 1 save for the season and have blown 1 of their 2 save opportunities. The Marlins relief pitchers have a save percentage of 50.0% and has entered the game in 7 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 5 holds this year (11th in the league). Marlins bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 8 times as well as having 15 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Marlins have turned 75.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of 612 innings, which has them ranked 7th in the majors. The Los Angeles Dodgers have notched a total of 204 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 83 assists and 7 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .976 which has them sitting 26th in MLB, and have accumulated 6 double plays.

Meyer (3-6 career record) has a FIP of 5.46 while he has faced 297 hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 74 hits (9.8 hits per 9 innings) with 22 free passes. His earned run average is 5.54 (42 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.408. Meyer has pitched in 68 innings and has racked up 59 K's thus far in his career.

Atlanta has recorded 4 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 12 RBIs. They have notched 6 two-baggers, while walking 29 times and recording 14 runs. The Atlanta Braves have tallied a team OBP of .251 and a batting average of .151 on the campaign. The Braves hold a team SLG% of .234 and they are recording 2.00 runs per outing (28th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 68 occasions (2nd in the league) and are sitting with 33 base hits.

The Braves have a WHIP of 1.390 in addition to having a FIP of 4.52 as a staff so far this year. They are currently ranked 24th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 56. The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 32 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 5.13 (32 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio is 8.00 (50 strikeouts vs 22 bases on balls). They have relinquished 9 home runs and they surrender 5.13 runs per 9 innings (23rd in baseball).

Sitting with 6 save situations, the Braves have accumulated 4 holds and 2 blown saves. Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 2 save opportunities and they have walked away with 0 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 7 times in high leverage situations and also on 6 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 66.7% out of 9 inherited base runners. They sit at 25th in MLB with a save percentage of 0.0%, and they have dispatched 23 relievers onto the field on the season.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 4 double plays and have a fielding rate of .991 (10th in MLB). The Braves have racked up 60 assists, 2 errors and have earned 169 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 507 innings on the diamond, the Braves have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (21st in baseball).

In his MLB career, Smith-Shawver has given up 26 hits and he has 28 punch outs in 33 frames. He has conceded 14 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.265 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.75 and he has gone up against 144 opposing hitters in his career. Smith-Shawver (1-1 career win-loss mark) holds a 3.80 ERA and has surrendered 7.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (+106)

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