Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 8/7/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Thursday, August 7, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-275) Atlanta (+220)

The Atlanta Braves (47-65) will go up against the Miami Marlins (55-57) at Truist Park on Thursday. The line on this contest has the Marlins at -275 and the Braves are opening at +220. The betting total comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Eury Perez and Carlos Carrasco.

The Marlins have compiled 189 doubles as a team and have smacked 109 balls out of the park. Miami has a slugging rate of .396 and have been called out on strikes 889 times, while drawing a walk on 338 occasions. As a team, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.3 runs per game, which has them sitting at 20th in baseball. They have accumulated 461 runs batted in and 958 base knocks on the campaign, and their average at the plate sits at .251. They have accumulated 480 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .314.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.54 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.30. Marlins pitchers have given up 118 home runs and also 530 total runs (24th in MLB). Miami has surrendered 950 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and also 491 earned runs. The Marlins hold a team earned run average of 4.43 this season (24th in the league), and they have struck out 883 batters. They have walked 348 opposing players and their FIP is 4.07 as a team so far this year.

Marlins pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 86 times in addition to having 119 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 62 holds so far this season (19th in the league). The Marlins relievers have a save rate of 60.9% and have come into the game in 109 save situations. They have earned 28 saves on the year and have not converted 18 out of their 46 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 124 runners so far this season and 31.5% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Marlins have dispatched 348 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a tally of 2,992 putouts on the campaign, as well as 973 assists and 57 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which puts them in 18th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 78 double plays. The Marlins have turned 69.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 8,976 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 17th in MLB.

Perez (9-9 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 2.95 and he has gone up against 570 opposing batters in the majors. He has surrendered 101 hits (6.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 49 walks. His ERA is 3.00 (47 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.063. Perez has pitched in 141 innings and has accounted for 159 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Braves hold a team slugging percentage of .388 and they tally 4.14 runs per outing (24th in MLB). They have put up 167 two-baggers, while getting a free base 405 times and scoring 464 runs. Atlanta has hit 121 long balls so far this season to go along with 450 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 975 occasions (11th in baseball) and have earned a total of 920 hits. The Atlanta Braves have compiled a team OBP of .318 in addition to a batting average of .241 on the campaign.

The Atlanta pitching staff have conceded 493 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 4.23 (465 earned runs relinquished). They have relinquished 129 long balls and they surrender 4.48 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league). The Braves have a WHIP of 1.284 in addition to having a FIP of 4.08 as a pitching staff this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.10 (997 strikeouts vs 378 walks). They are sitting at 7th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 893.

Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 33 save chances and they have recorded 17 saves. They are ranked 27th in the league with a save percentage of 51.5%, and they have dispatched 362 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the year. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 115 times in high leverage situations and on 119 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta relievers have an inherited score percentage of 39.0% out of 159 inherited base runners. With 75 save situations, the Braves have 42 holds and also 16 blown saves.

The Atlanta Braves have gotten 75 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .990 (2nd in MLB). The Braves have recorded 962 assists, 38 errors and have earned a total of 2,972 putouts during this campaign. In 8,916 innings on the diamond, the Braves have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (12th in pro baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Carrasco has allowed 1,658 hits and he has 1,692 punch outs in 1,679 innings. He has surrendered a total of 780 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.263 and having a FIP of 4.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.65 and he has faced 7,030 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. Carrasco (112-105 career win-loss mark) holds a 4.18 earned run average while conceding 8.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (-275)

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