Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 5/12/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Monday, May 12, 2025

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+102) Chicago (-122)

The Chicago Cubs (22-16) host the Miami Marlins (14-22) at Wrigley Field on Monday. The moneyline on this contest has the Marlins at +102 while the Cubs are at -122. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Cal Quantrill and Colin Rea.

As a squad, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.4 runs per contest, which puts them at 15th in the league. They are sitting with 157 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .311. The Marlins have accumulated 61 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 32 balls out of the stadium. They have accrued 149 runs batted in and 308 hits over the course of the season, while their average at the plate is .249. Miami has a slugging % of .380 and have struck out 322 times, while being walked on 106 occasions.

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The Marlins have an ERA of 5.86 on the campaign (30th in the league), and their staff has rung up 286 batters. Marlins pitchers have allowed 50 home runs and 222 runs (29th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 159 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.97 as a unit over the course of the season. Miami has conceded 348 base hits (9.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 210 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 1.80 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.57.

The Marlins have dispatched 126 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 59 runners this season and 32.2% of those runners ended up scoring. They have recorded 5 saves this season and have blown 6 of their 11 save opportunities. The Marlins relievers have earned a save rate of 45.5% and have stepped onto the mound in 27 save situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 16 holds on the season (24th in the league). Marlins bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 43 times as well as having 43 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have notched a total of 967 putouts this year, in addition to 322 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which ranks 13th in pro baseball, and have a total of 27 double plays. The Marlins have converted 67.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 2,901 innings on the field, which ranks them 27th in pro baseball.

Quantrill has taken the hill for 750 frames and has accumulated 559 K's so far in his career. Quantrill (45-37 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.14 while going up against 3,204 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.20 (350 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.330. He has conceded 753 base knocks (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 245 free passes.

Chicago has accounted for 55 home runs so far this year to go along with 219 runs batted in. They have notched 68 doubles, while taking a walk 149 times as well as putting up 223 runs. The Chicago Cubs have recorded a team OBP of .335 as well as a team batting average of .258 on the year. The Cubs have a slugging percentage of .446 and they are scoring 5.87 runs per contest (1st in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 307 occasions (15th in the league) and have notched a total of 344 base hits.

The Chicago pitching staff have allowed 165 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 3.95 (150 earned runs allowed). They have surrendered 37 long balls and they relinquish 4.34 runs per 9 innings (15th in baseball). The Cubs have a WHIP of 1.307 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.02 as a unit this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 7.80 (298 strikeouts vs 129 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 22nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 318.

Chicago bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 40.9% of 44 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 39 times in high leverage situations and also on 32 occasions with base runners. With 38 save situations, the Cubs have amassed 22 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. They are ranked 26th in MLB holding a save rate of 53.3%, and they have dispatched 132 relievers to the mound on the season. Chicago has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 15 save opportunities and they have come away with 8 saves.

In 3,078 innings on the diamond, the Cubs hold a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (14th in the majors). The Chicago Cubs have gotten 31 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .984 (17th in MLB). The Cubs have accrued 307 assists, 21 errors and have accumulated 1,026 putouts over the course of the season.

During his career, Rea has conceded 461 base knocks while tallying 391 strikeouts in 475 innings. He has given up 235 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.275 and a FIP of 4.4. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.70 and he has faced 2,027 opposing batters during his career. Rea (28-20 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 4.45 earned run average and has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+102)

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