Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 5/14/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Wednesday, May 14, 2025

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+162) Chicago (-196)

Wrigley Field is where the Chicago Cubs (24-18) will try to defeat the Miami Marlins (15-25) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has Miami at +162 and Chicago is sitting at -196. The over/under is set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Ryan Weathers and Jameson Taillon.

As a squad, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.2 runs per contest, which is 17th in the league. They have a total of 166 runs and have an on-base percentage of .311. The Marlins have hit 65 doubles as a squad and have hit 35 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 158 runs batted in and 336 hits so far this season, and their batting average comes in at .246. Miami has a slugging rate of .376 and have been rung up 348 times, while taking a walk on 123 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 1.85 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.53. Marlins pitchers have allowed 55 long balls and also 238 runs (29th in MLB). Miami has surrendered 373 base hits (9.5 per 9 innings) and 225 earned runs. The Marlins are sitting with a team earned run average of 5.70 this year (30th in baseball), and they have rung up 316 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 171 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.92 as a team this year.

The Marlins bullpen have compiled a save rate of 50.0% and stepped onto the hill in 29 save situations. The relievers have inherited 63 base runners so far this season with 33.3% of those runners crossed the plate. Marlins pitchers have come into the game with runners on 45 times and also have had 46 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have dispatched 137 relievers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have notched 17 holds over the course of the season (25th in MLB). They have recorded 6 saves on the campaign and have not converted 6 of 12 chances to get a save.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have 1,066 putouts on the year, in addition to 346 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which ranks 13th in the majors, and have accumulated 29 double plays. The Marlins have converted 68.1% of baseballs in play into outs in their 3,198 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 23rd in pro baseball.

Weathers (10-21 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 5.01 and he has faced 1,046 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 253 base hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) with 87 walks. His ERA is 5.09 (137 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.404. Weathers has taken the hill for 242 frames and has accumulated 198 punch outs during his pro baseball career.

The Chicago Cubs have earned a team OBP of .330 in addition to a batting average of .253 for the season. They have been rung up on 339 occasions (16th in the league) and have a total of 369 base hits. Chicago has knocked in 61 long balls this season to go along with 234 runs batted in. The Cubs hold a slugging percentage of .441 and they earn 5.67 runs per outing (2nd in the league). They have recorded 73 doubles, while walking 163 times and putting up 238 runs.

The Cubs hold a team WHIP of 1.314 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.17 as a team on the campaign. They come in at 20th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 358. The Chicago pitching staff have allowed 185 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 4.05 (169 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.00 (335 strikeouts against 136 free passes). They have given up 47 homers and they yield 4.43 runs per 9 innings (16th in baseball).

Chicago relievers have an inherited score percentage of 42.2% of 45 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 44 times in high leverage situations in addition to 33 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 44 save situations, the Cubs have tallied 26 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. They rank 22nd in MLB with a save percentage of 58.8%, and they have sent 145 relievers to the hill this year. Chicago has called on relievers to enter the contest in 17 save chances and they have converted 10 saves.

The Chicago Cubs have gotten 36 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .985 (20th in professional baseball). The Cubs have racked up 342 assists, 23 errors and have amassed 1,128 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 3,384 innings played, the Cubs have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (17th in pro baseball).

Taillon (73-55 career record) is the owner of a 3.92 ERA and has surrendered 8.7 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.66 and he has gone up against 4,790 opposing hitters during his MLB career. He has allowed 501 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.208 and a FIP of 3.9. In his career, Taillon has conceded 1,114 hits and he has 1,010 punch outs in 1,150 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Chicago (-196) and under 9 runs

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