Miami Marlins vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, 5/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025

Location: Rate Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Chicago Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-152) Chicago (+126)

The Miami Marlins (14-22) are hitting the road to Rate Field on Sunday where they will try to beat the Chicago White Sox (10-28). The moneyline on this matchup has Miami at -152 and Chicago is coming in at +126. The betting total is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Sandy Alcantara and Sean Burke.

As a squad, the Miami Marlins are compiling 4.4 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 15th in baseball. They have 157 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .311. The Marlins have accumulated 61 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 32 balls out of the stadium. They have amassed 149 RBI's as well as 308 base knocks over the course of the season, while their team batting average is .249. Miami has a slugging % of .380 and have struck out 322 times, while drawing a walk on 106 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.80 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.57. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 50 home runs in addition to 222 runs (29th in baseball). Miami has given up 348 base hits (9.7 per 9 innings) as well as 210 earned runs. The Marlins are sitting with a team ERA of 5.86 this season (30th in the league), and the staff has rung up 286 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 159 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.97 as a team on the year.

Marlins relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 43 times and also have had 43 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 16 holds over the course of the season (24th in the league). The Marlins relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 45.5% and have entered the game in 27 save situations. They have compiled 5 saves on the year and have missed out on 6 out of their 11 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 59 base runners on the season with 32.2% of those players crossed the plate. The Marlins have dispatched 126 relief pitchers to the hill on the season.

The Marlins have converted 67.4% of balls hit into play into outs in their 2,901 innings, ranking them 27th in baseball. The Los Angeles Dodgers have 967 putouts for the season, in addition to 322 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which has them sitting 13th in pro baseball, and they have turned 27 double plays.

Alcantara has pitched in 931 innings and has tallied 812 K's during his career. Alcantara (43-59 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.44 while he has faced 3,822 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.49 (361 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.173. He has conceded 801 base hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) with 291 walks.

The White Sox have a team slugging percentage of .320 and they score 3.37 runs per game (27th in MLB). They have 48 doubles, while taking a walk 128 times and earning 128 runs. Chicago has knocked in 26 long balls on the year to go along with 124 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 326 occasions (7th in baseball) and have earned 265 base knocks. The Chicago White Sox have accumulated an on-base percentage of .293 in addition to a team batting average of .216 so far this season.

The Chicago pitching staff have given up 167 runs on the year while having an ERA of 4.25 (153 earned runs conceded). They have given up 41 homers and they give up 4.64 runs per 9 innings (19th in baseball). The White Sox have a team WHIP of 1.398 in addition to having a FIP of 4.62 as a staff on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 7.60 (274 strikeouts against 144 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 18th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 309.

Chicago relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.5% out of their 52 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 29 times in high leverage situations and also on 36 occasions with runners on base. With 18 save situations, the White Sox have recorded 13 holds and also 4 blown saves. They are currently ranked 30th in the league holding a save rate of 20.0%, and they have sent 121 bullpen pitchers to the hill this season. Chicago has had relief pitchers take the mound in 5 save chances and they have walked away with 1 save.

In 2,919 innings played, the White Sox have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (19th in professional baseball). The Chicago White Sox have gotten 33 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .979 (27th in professional baseball). The White Sox have recorded 308 assists, 27 errors and have notched a total of 973 putouts during this campaign.

Burke (4-4 career mark) has a 3.41 earned run average and has surrendered 7.3 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.04 and he has gone up against 248 opposing batters in his MLB career. He has surrendered 22 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.222 and a FIP of 3.4. In his pro baseball career, Burke has surrendered 47 hits while tallying 49 punch outs in 58 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (-152)

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