Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/9/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Wednesday, July 9, 2025

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+220) Cincinnati (-275)

The Cincinnati Reds (46-45) will try to defeat the Miami Marlins (41-48) at Great American Ball Park on Wednesday. The odds on this game have Miami at +220 while Cincinnati is opening at -275. The total is 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Sandy Alcantara and Andrew Abbott.

As a team, the Miami Marlins are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, which puts them at 18th in the league. They are sitting with 375 runs scored while having a team OBP of .314. The Marlins have earned 148 doubles as a team and have hit 80 baseballs out of the stadium. They have amassed 361 RBI's in addition to 770 hits this season, while their batting average is .253. Miami has a slugging percentage of .390 and have been called out on strikes 721 times, while taking a walk on 263 occasions.

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The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.66 so far this year (25th in the league), and their staff has rung up 702 hitters. Marlins pitchers have conceded 99 home runs and 442 runs in total (25th in the league). They have walked 291 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.19 as a squad on the season. Miami has given up 773 base hits (8.8 per 9 innings) as well as 411 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.41 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.34.

The Marlins relief pitchers have a save rate of 61.1% and have stepped onto the mound in 86 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 114 runners on the year and 31.6% of those players ended up scoring. Marlins bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 78 times and also have had 100 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have dispatched 289 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have accumulated 49 holds for the year (20th in baseball). They have earned 22 saves this year and have not converted 14 of 36 save chances.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have 2,382 putouts this season, as well as 784 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which is 17th in MLB, and have a total of 63 double plays. The Marlins have transformed 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,146 innings on the field, which has them sitting 20th in professional baseball.

Alcantara has taken the hill for 986 innings and has 856 K's during his MLB career. Alcantara (45-63 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.59 while facing 4,065 opposing batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.64 (399 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.182. He has given up 858 base hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 308 walks.

The Reds have a slugging percentage of .395 and they are scoring 4.57 runs per outing (10th in the league). They have put up 147 doubles, while taking a walk 299 times and scoring 416 runs. Cincinnati has accumulated 96 home runs for the season to go along with 395 RBIs. They have been rung up on 793 instances (7th in the league) and have 745 base hits. The Cincinnati Reds have compiled a team OBP of .316 as well as a batting average of .245 for the season.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have conceded 388 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 3.96 (353 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 111 HR's and they give up 4.35 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB). The Reds have a WHIP of 1.241 in addition to having a FIP of 4.24 as a squad on the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.20 (734 strikeouts against 280 free passes). They rank 8th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 717.

With 91 save situations, the Reds have earned 56 holds and also 11 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 33 save opportunities and they have tallied 22 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 82 times in high leverage situations and also on 71 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 33.6% out of 110 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 10th in the league with a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have sent 309 relievers to the hill for the season.

Out of their 7,233 innings on the field, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 71.5% (3rd in professional baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 51 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in pro baseball). The Reds have recorded 691 assists, 47 errors and have a total of 2,411 putouts this season.

Abbott (25-17 career mark) is the owner of a 3.38 earned run average while surrendering 8.1 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.64 and he has gone up against 1,384 opposing batters in his career. He has allowed 124 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.253 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.3. During his pro baseball career, Abbott has surrendered 296 hits while he has earned 312 K's in 330 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-275)

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