Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 8/14/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Thursday, August 14, 2025

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: CLEGuardians.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+125) Cleveland (-150)

The Cleveland Guardians (62-56) host the Miami Marlins (57-62) at Progressive Field on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Marlins at +125 while the Guardians are coming in at -150. The total is 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Edward Cabrera and Tanner Bibee.

Miami is slugging .394 and have been called out on strikes 930 times, while being walked on 356 occasions. They have 486 RBI's in addition to 1,011 hits for the year, and their average at the plate is at .251. The Marlins have accrued 196 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 113 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 505 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .315. As a team, the Miami Marlins are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 19th in the league.

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The Marlins are sitting with a team ERA of 4.52 this year (24th in the league), and they have rung up 931 hitters. Marlins pitchers have conceded 129 home runs and also 565 total runs (24th in the league). They have walked 369 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.13 as a team on the year. Miami has allowed 1,003 base hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and 526 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.52 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.31.

The Marlins bullpen have compiled a save rate of 60.4% and have come into the game in 115 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 129 base runners this season with 31.0% of those players crossed the plate. Marlins bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 89 times in addition to having 123 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have dispatched 365 relievers to the hill on the season. The relievers have a total of 66 holds for the season (16th in baseball). They have accumulated 29 saves so far this year and have not converted 19 of their 48 save opportunities.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a tally of 3,142 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,016 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which puts them in 17th in professional baseball, and they have turned 83 double plays. The Marlins have turned 69.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 9,426 innings, which has them ranked 18th in MLB.

Cabrera has pitched in 402 innings and has earned 442 K's so far in his MLB career. Cabrera (23-27 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.93 while he has faced 1,706 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.99 (178 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.289. He has allowed 315 base hits (7.1 hits per nine innings) and has 203 walks.

The Cleveland Guardians have an on-base percentage of .301 as well as a team batting average of .228 so far this season. They have been rung up on 957 occasions (18th in baseball) and have a total of 879 base hits. Cleveland is sitting with 123 long balls on the campaign to go along with 448 runs batted in. The Guardians have a SLG% of .377 and they average 3.98 runs per game (26th in baseball). They have tallied 178 two-baggers, while taking a walk 375 times as well as putting up 466 runs.

The Guardians have a team WHIP of 1.297 in addition to having a FIP of 4.08 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They come in at 6th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 938. The Cleveland pitching staff have conceded 485 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 3.83 (443 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.50 (987 strikeouts against 412 bases on balls). They have yielded 126 home runs and they concede 4.19 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league).

Cleveland relievers have an inherited score percentage of 35.9% out of their 142 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 137 times in high leverage situations and also on 102 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 137 save situations, the Guardians have 83 holds and also 16 blown saves. They rank 5th in MLB holding a save percentage of 68.6%, and they have sent 390 relievers to the hill so far this season. Cleveland has had relievers enter the game in 51 save opportunities and they have come away with 35 saves.

In their 9,375 innings on the diamond, the Guardians have a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (15th in professional baseball). The Cleveland Guardians have turned 88 double plays and have a fielding rate of .982 (28th in professional baseball). The Guardians have accrued 961 assists, 77 errors and have a total of 3,125 putouts on the campaign.

In his MLB career, Bibee has allowed 400 hits while he has earned 447 strikeouts in 446 innings pitched. Bibee (30-21 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.65 earned run average while allowing 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 181 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.183 and having a FIP of 3.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.49 and he has gone up against 1,848 batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cleveland (-150)

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