Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/29/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, August 29, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+132) New York (-160)

The Miami Marlins (62-71) are on their way to Citi Field on Friday where they will take on the New York Mets (72-61). The odds on this game have the Marlins at +132 and the Mets are priced at -160. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Eury Perez and David Peterson.

Miami has a slugging percentage of .393 and have struck out 1,041 times, while drawing a walk on 398 occasions. They have compiled 542 RBI's as well as 1,131 base knocks for the season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .249. The Marlins have compiled 218 doubles as a team and have hit 128 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 567 runs scored and hold an OBP of .313. As a squad, the Miami Marlins are scoring 4.3 runs per outing, which is 19th in the league.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.51 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.30. Marlins pitchers have relinquished 149 long balls and 650 runs in total (24th in MLB). Miami has relinquished 1,119 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) as well as 601 earned runs. The Marlins have compiled a team ERA of 4.58 this season (25th in the league), and they have struck out 1,047 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 417 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.21 as a unit for the season.

Marlins bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 103 times and also have had 145 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 71 holds this year (20th in the league). The Marlins relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 62.7% and have stepped onto the mound in 123 save situations. They have recorded 32 saves so far this season and have missed out on 19 of their 51 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 151 base runners so far this season with 32.5% of those runners ended up scoring. The Marlins have sent 410 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have accumulated 3,544 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,139 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which is 17th in professional baseball, and they have turned 91 double plays. The Marlins have transformed 70.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 10,632 innings on the field, ranking them 14th in baseball.

Perez (11-9 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.24 and he has faced 654 batters in the major leagues. He has conceded 116 base knocks (6.5 hits per 9 innings) with 56 free passes. His ERA is 3.29 (59 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.066. Perez has thrown 161 innings and is sitting with 178 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

The Mets have a slugging percentage of .424 and they tally 4.65 runs per game (10th in baseball). They have recorded 217 two-baggers, while getting a free base 466 times and putting up 618 runs. New York has a total of 177 home runs for the year and 603 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,065 occasions (21st in MLB) and have earned 1,110 base hits. The New York Mets are sitting with a team OBP of .327 and a team batting average of .249 so far this year.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.306 and have a FIP of 3.86 as a staff on the campaign. They rank 10th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,070. The New York pitching staff have given up 554 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.80 (497 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.70 (1,141 strikeouts against 469 bases on balls). They have allowed 119 dingers and they relinquish 4.23 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball).

New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 34.4% of 209 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 161 times in high leverage situations in addition to 141 occasions with runners on. With 143 save situations, the Mets have tallied 84 holds and 23 blown saves. They are ranked 21st in the league holding a save rate of 61.0%, and they have dispatched 434 bullpen pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. New York has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 59 save chances and they have come away with 36 saves.

The New York Mets have gotten 98 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in MLB). The Mets have 1,199 assists, 60 errors and have 3,534 putouts this season. In their 10,602 innings on the diamond, the Mets have a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (20th in the majors).

In his career, Peterson has surrendered 560 hits while tallying 599 strikeouts in 604 frames. Peterson (36-29 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.86 earned run average while giving up 8.3 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 259 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.344 and a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 2.38 and he has gone up against 2,573 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+132)

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